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Renegades vs. Dragons Odds & Pick: How We’re Betting Saturday’s XFL Game

Renegades vs. Dragons Odds & Pick: How We’re Betting Saturday’s XFL Game article feature image

Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images. Pictured: Landry Jones

  • The latest betting odds for Saturday's Renegades at Dragons matchup pin Dallas as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 40.5 -- now the second-lowest XFL total of Week 3.
  • Our staff previews the game from a betting perspective, highlighting the biggest mismatch as well as their projected spread vs. the actual odds.
  • One of our experts also makes a pick on the over/under, specifying to which number he likes the bet until so you can shop for the best one.

Renegades at Dragons Odds

  • Spread: Renegades -4
  • Total: 43
  • Kickoff: 5 p.m. ET on Saturday
  • TV: FOX

Odds as of Friday and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.

Our staff previews Saturday’s game, complete with their projected spread and a pick.

Renegades-Dragons Injury Report

The Renegades will be without starting defensive end Winston Craig (knee), but they are otherwise healthy.

The Dragons will be without starting left tackle Isaiah Battle (ankle) for the third straight game, and backup left tackle Michael Dunn (calf) is doubtful, so the Dragons will probably have a third-string tackle on quarterback Brandon Silvers’ blindside.

Wide receiver Kasen Williams (quad) and tight end Cam Clear (undisclosed) are also expected to miss their third straight game, and starting defensive tackle Anthony Moten (ankle) will miss his week in a row. Ben Rolfe

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Key Matchup

Renegades Rush Offense vs. Dragons Rush Defense

After looking like a team that had little interest in running through the first six quarters, the Renegades relied on the ground game in the second half of Week 2 and found success. Running back Cameron Artis-Payne was able to get yards at will against the Los Angeles Wildcats.

Meanwhile the Seattle defense allowed over 6.5 yards per carry to the Tampa Bay Vipers in Week 2. Overall, the Seattle run defense has been mediocre with a grade of 62.4 (per Pro Football Focus).

If Seattle cannot step up against the Dallas running game, then Artis-Payne should be able to accrue chunk yardage, which might take the home crowd out of the game. Additionally, if Seattle has to commit more men to stopping the run, that will open up more options for offensive coordinator Hal Mumme’s Air Raid offense downfield.

If Seattle cannot make key stops against the Renegades early, then this game could get out of hand quickly, especially with all the injuries and question marks Seattle has on offense. — Rolfe

Our Projected Odds

You’ll find our experts’ consensus spread as well as Sean Koerner’s total below. Find their projections for every Week 3 game here.

  • Our Experts’ Consensus Spread: Renegades -1.7
  • Koerner’s Projected Total: 43.7


Matthew Freedman: Under 43

The Dragons are yet to score 20 points in a game, and the Renegades failed to find the end zone for the first seven quarters of the season. The Dragons are limited by quarterback Brandon Silvers, who has a lowly 49.1% completion rate, and the Renegades are held back by head coach Bob Stoops, who is far too willing to settle for field goals and punts on fourth-and-short.

In my takeaways piece for Week 3, I note that totals were inflated in Weeks 1 and 2 — the under has gone 6-2 so far — and I still think most of the totals are too high for Week 3.

I’d bet the under down to 41.5.

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