CHC @ SEA
8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NWStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.31 | 4-5 | |
 |  | 1.49 | 4-0 |
Cubs vs. Mariners Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Cubs 25-20 | +1.5-185 | o7-125 | +120 | |
Mariners 24-20 | -1.5+154 | u7+105 | -142 | |
T-Mobile ParkSeattle
PRO Insights
Cubs
CHC Insights
- Featured Insight The Cubs have allowed just 4.3 runs per game over the last week -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB (6 games). The Mariners have scored just 3.3 runs per game over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB (6 games).
TRY FOR FREE
Mariners
SEA Insights
- Featured Insight Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 35% against the Mariners RPs since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB. Cubs hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 39% since the 2022 season -- eighth worst in MLB.
TRY FOR FREE
Cubs vs. Mariners Game Analysis
Cubs vs. Mariners Notes
Keys to the Game
The Mariners are 81-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cubs are 20-18 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Mariners are 68-14 (.829) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.
Matchup Contrasts
34% of Cody Bellinger strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fourth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 60% of Luis Castillo's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.
28% of Cody Bellinger strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 60% of Luis Castillo's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP-- 98th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Javier Assad threw his breaking pitches for a strike just 47% (148/318) of the time in the 2023 season -- lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 63% -- 0 Percentile.
Javier Assad threw his off-speed pitches for a strike just 45% (174/387) of the time in the 2023 season -- lowest among in NL; League Avg: 62% -- first Percentile.
Cubs vs. Mariners Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Mariners are 9-10 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Mariners' 25 last games at home
Cubs vs. Mariners Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Mariners vs. Cubs Injury Updates
Mariners Injuries
J.P. Crawford
IFCrawford is out with oblique
Out
Cubs Injuries
Dansby Swanson
IFSwanson is out with knee
Out
Nico Hoerner
IFHoerner is day-to-day with hamstring
Day-to-Day
Cubs vs. Mariners Box Score
Cubs Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ.Assad, P | 87 | 5.2 | 6 | 2 | |
| RY.Almonte, P | 16 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RM.Leiter, P | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| RH.Neris, P | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RA.Alzolay, P | 16 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1I.Happ, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2S.Suzuki, DH | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 3C.Bellinger, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4C.Morel, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4N.Madrigal, 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5D.Swanson, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6M.Busch, 1B | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 7N.Hoerner, 2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8M.Tauchman, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9Y.Gomes, C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Mariners Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RL.Castillo, P | 103 | 6 | 9 | 2 | |
| RB.de Geus, P | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| LG.Speier, P | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| RT.Thornton, P | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1J.Crawford, SS | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2M.Haniger, RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3J.Polanco, 2B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 4T.France, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5D.Canzone, LF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5D.Moore, LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6M.Garver, DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7C.Raleigh, C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7J.Rodriguez, PR | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8L.Raley, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9J.Rojas, 3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
Compare Odds
Could not load odds
Cubs vs. Mariners Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Cubs 25-20 | N/A | N/A |
Mariners 24-20 | N/A | N/A |