Prop Bet Guy's Picks
Today
Yoshi Yamamoto (LAD) to record a win+105
1u
I think this one speaks for itself, but the fact is, the Dodgers are -260 on the F5 moneyline and -375 on the F7 moneyline, and have a significant bullpen advantage. The latter is key, because Cabrera is going to have a very tough time pitching past the 5th inning with his command issues. Give me a dialed in Yamamoto (1.64 ERA since the S. Korea game).
Play to -115.
33
G.Stone u5.5 Ks-138
MIA
@
LAD
1.38u
05/08 7:10 PM
45 Ks in 62 MLB IP between this and last season. Marlins have really been undervalued on in terms of K props - they are at a 20% K% vs righties over the L2 weeks - 15/L16 under this line.
9
Pending
Civale 5+ Ks + Quantrill not to record a win-130
1.3u
Civale coming off a tough start vs NYY, but he’s looked good overall: 3.90 ERA/3.09 xERA. Generating more strikeouts thanks to a new sweeper he’s started throwing to righties this season. He gets 6 righties today (5 of them K prone). 5+ Ks in 4/5 starts.
I see this as a game where Quantrill is going to struggle to get through 5 IP, let alone putting the Rockies in position to win. The altitude should wreak havoc with this one, and I don’t trust a Rockies bullpen to hold the lead even if Cal somehow gets through 5 with the Rockies winning.
26
D.DiVincenzo u7.5 Rebs+Ast-118
IND
@
NYK
1.18u
05/09 12:00 AM
Coming off a 3 rebound, 1 assist performance, I’m surprised this opened at 7.5. He spent the majority of his time chasing Haliburton around the perimeter, which really hurt his rebounding chances (only 6). I don’t see defensive coverages changing (on Hali) - Hart, OG, Hartenstein/Achiuwa should clean up the boards for NYK.
And Indy doesn’t really allow many assists - 4th fewest per game. When DDV drives, he shoots (6 FGA on 7 drives last game) - especially against the Pacers who really don’t help on drives. And when he does get kick outs, he also rarely makes the extra pass.
48
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 3-3-0 | 50% | -0.50u |
| Last 7 Days | 15-21-0 | 42% | -8.55u |
| Last 30 Days | 77-85-5 | 46% | -15.72u |
| All Time | 2086-1887-36 | 52% | 35.86u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 344-266-1 | 56% | 54.49u |
| NCAAB | 336-245-4 | 57% | 51.64u |
| NCAAF | 43-37-1 | 53% | 0.57u |
| MLB | 628-631-12 | 49% | -31.61u |
| NBA | 735-707-18 | 50% | -38.24u |
On Social