Propbetguy

Gobert with 19, 18, 14 this series, and 21 the last game of the regular season vs PHX. They don’t have a good answer for him down low with Nurkic struggling on the PnR, and the Suns going small or playing more Eubanks. KAT over this line in 55/65 games this season, and 15/20 when playing 20-30 mins. He’s been plagued by foul trouble in all three games, and still cleared this line with ease (7, 8, 13). I do think he sees ~32 mins if he can avoid foul trouble, but also should clear this line with just 24 mins again.

Civale coming off a tough start vs NYY, but he’s looked good overall: 3.90 ERA/3.09 xERA. Generating more strikeouts thanks to a new sweeper he’s started throwing to righties this season. He gets 6 righties today (5 of them K prone). 5+ Ks in 4/5 starts. I see this as a game where Quantrill is going to struggle to get through 5 IP, let alone putting the Rockies in position to win. The altitude should wreak havoc with this one, and I don’t trust a Rockies bullpen to hold the lead even if Cal somehow gets through 5 with the Rockies winning.