Sobel’s Arnold Palmer Invitational Third-Round Matchups: Bet on Molinari to Hold Off Mitchell?

ORLANDO, Fla. — Tommy Fleetwood and Keegan Bradley start the weekend at the Arnold Palmer Invitational four shots clear of the next closest contenders.

Should be a fun matchup in the final pairing, but I’m looking slightly further down the board for some picks I like even better.

Let’s take a look at three matchup bets for Saturday’s third round.

Francesco Molinari over Keith Mitchell by -0.5 (-125)

At some point, Mitchell’s gotta hit the proverbial wall.

Following last week’s win, he spoke about being physically and mentally drained — and yet, here he is, back in contention once again.

Kudos to him, but at some point he’s bound to run out of steam.

Molinari is looking solid with his new sticks so far and I like him in this one.

Kevin Kisner over Roger Sloan by -0.5 (-130)

This one is all about experience.

In contention on the weekend, Kisner should be able to grind his way to another nice score.

Sloan is a solid player, but hasn’t been in this situation many times before.

Bubba Watson over Patrick Reed (Even)

Good matchup here between two Masters champions.

Both are playing well, obviously, but books have installed Reed as a favorite.

I’d have it the other way, so take the value pick here.