NBA Props

The Knicks head to Indiana for Game 6 and all eyes will be on Jalen Brunson. Brunson looked fresh in Game five and not hampered by the foot injury that was ailing him in games two, three, and four. Brunson was the clear head of the snake and took an absurd 35 shots in Game five. This was far more than any game this series; however, it aligns with his performances against the 76ers where he crushed this line and had games with 27, 34 and 32 FGAs. Two of those games came with extended rest and he cleared 50 PA in both games. The volume is there and the Knicks have found a successful formula to get Haliburton into the action by using McBride to set ball screens for Brunson to open things up for him. While the Pacers may try to send doubles, this has not been successful. Double teams are not something Indiana has utilized much at all this season and whenever they do send doubles, Brunson and the Knicks have crushed them with the 4-3 advantage. McBride is also a better scoring threat than Precious Achiuwa which has helped Brunson’s assists. Last game, Brunson racked up 18 potential assists due to his incredible gravity and that assist ceiling can help contribute to this combo prop. Brunson exceeded this 40.5 PA line in Games 1 and 5 - he was on pace to clear this in Game 2 but for the injury and in Games 3 and 4 he was clearly a step slow and there was the blowout. Considering Brunson got an extra day of rest thanks to Caitlin Clark’s home debut on Thursday, I expect him to look fresh and spry while exceeding 40.5 PA.

same page with @JoeDellera

Volume has still been solid in the 1H of the last two games. Think he gets the chance again and this is a bit of an overreaction in terms of the line move