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Today
2-WAY PARLAY+101
1u
Buying low on Porzingis - he was awful in Game 2, but he missed some marketable shots. Spoelstra’s defense is predicated on taking away Tatum right now - I see Porzingis as a beneficiary in Game 3. Besides game 2, he’s scored 18, 25, 19, 17 vs the Heat - and he’s 24/L25 at 15+ points with at least 28 minutes played.
Allen with 16, 16 and 15 so far this series - Magic don’t have a good matchup for him down low right now. Expecting a closer game too - Allen is 23/L24 on this line with just 26+ mins.
J.Allen o11.5 Pts-360
CLE
89
112
ORL
FINAL 4/27
K.Porzingis o14.5 Pts-175
BOS
@
MIA
04/27 10:00 PM
108
Y.Kikuchi u16.5 Outs-105
LAD
4
0
TOR
1.05u
Top 6th
He’s pitching well - but this is a brutal matchup. He’s at 4+ pitches per PA, and the Dodgers are at 3.97 (7th highest). Just hard to see Kikuchi pitching clean enough against this lineup - and even though the Jays used their pen a ton yesterday, Kikuchi is not someone who will throw 100+ pitches.
83
2-WAY PARLAY-115
1.38u
Going back to this, modified a bit. See my write-up from last game.
91
K.Tucker o0.5 RBI-120
HOU
@
COL
1.2u
04/27 10:05 PM
Cleanup hitter, and Astros leading RBI man, in a game with a total of 16+ due to the altitude in Mexico City.
132
C.Rodon u6.5 Ks-140
NYY
@
MIL
1.4u
04/27 11:10 PM
5/5 to the under, only reaching 6Ks once. Not missing bats at all - 19th percentile in whiff rate.
97
Pending
2-WAY PARLAY+106
1u
Game 1 (+124): 19/8
Game 2 (+114): 22/9
Game 3 (+116): 20/10
We lose a few cents, but the value is there. He’s hit this with Jokic still putting up numbers, Murray with 21+ FGA in all three, and even in a massive AG game.
He’s third at best on the scouting report (might be 4th after last game), and the Lakers don’t have an answer for him.
M.Porter o14.5 Pts-240
DEN
@
LAL
04/28 12:30 AM
M.Porter o6.5 Rebs-174
DEN
@LAL
04/28 12:30 AM
116
G.Kirby u5.5 Ks-115
ARI
@
SEA
1.15u
04/28 1:40 AM
He’s only under in 2/5, but his overs all came against high K teams. ARI has the third lowest K% vs righties (18.9%), and have only been marginally worse in away games (19.3%). They also have the fourth lowest CSW%, which bodes well against Kirby, who doesn’t miss many bats to begin with (26th percentile whiff rate this year - was 27th last year).
83
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 5-3-0 | 63% | 1.63u |
| Last 7 Days | 22-21-1 | 50% | -0.45u |
| Last 30 Days | 87-76-6 | 51% | 5.92u |
| All Time | 2061-1849-36 | 52% | 53.58u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 344-266-1 | 56% | 54.49u |
| NCAAB | 336-245-4 | 57% | 51.64u |
| NCAAF | 43-37-1 | 53% | 0.57u |
| MLB | 616-609-12 | 50% | -18.60u |
| NBA | 722-691-18 | 50% | -33.53u |
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