Grizzlies vs Kings Player Props | Expert Pick for Jaren Jackson Jr. (March 18)

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Grizzlies vs Kings NBA Player Props | Jaren Jackson Jr.

In what’s become a lost season for the Grizzlies, one bright spot has been the consistently strong play of Jaren Jackson Jr. The sixth-year pro is averaging a career-high of 30.2 combined points, rebounds and assists (PRA), for a largely depleted Memphis roster.

The Grizzlies did receive a boost over the weekend with the return of Desmond Bane after an extended absence. With Bane in the fold, Jackson incurred his lowest usage rate (21%) since before the guard’s injury.

In fact, in the 28 games Jackson has played with Bane and without Ja Morant, the big man has averaged 28 PRA, staying under this line in 21 of 28 games (75%).

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Tonight’s matchup against the Kings will be no picnic for Jackson in the post. The Kings have allowed the fifth-fewest PRA and third-lowest field goal percentage to opposing centers this season. Domantas Sabonis will camp out in the paint and make Jackson a jump-shooter.

The Michigan State product can make some shots from the outside, but as a 37% jump-shooter (33% from 3-point range), I’ll take my chances he doesn’t get hot from deep.

With only nine combined rebounds and assists in his two games against the Kings this season, I don’t see much upside with his secondary stats, either.

Tonight, I have Jackson projected around 29 PRA, and would play this line down to under 31.5.

Pick: Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115 at DraftKings) | Play to 31.5