Bears vs Vikings Best Bets: 4 Props & Picks for Monday Night Football
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NFL Week 12 concludes with an NFC North rivalry game on primetime, and we have Bears vs Vikings best bets: props & picks for Monday Night Football.
The Bears vs Vikings spread for MNF has Minnesota installed as 3-point favorites with a game total over/under of 43.5 at most sportsbooks. We have one betting analyst who is on the Vikings to win by a specific margin, two Justin Fields player props and one Roschon Johnson prop.
Our staff of NFL analysts are all over this game with this MNF betting preview. Here are our four Bears vs Vikings best bets.
Bears vs Vikings Best Bets: Props & Picks
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
| 8:15 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
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Bears vs Vikings Odds
| Bears Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -110 | 43.5 -110o / -110u | +140 |
| Vikings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -110 | 43.5 -110o / -110u | -160 |
Bears vs. Vikings
Recent history says rivalry games tend to be close and goofy between these two teams, and the matchup on the field suggests the same. Chicago is playing much closer to average than bad football since its awful start, and the return of Fields only boosts the team further and gives the Bears the best player on the field.
It doesn't look like either team should be able to run much — other than Fields creating with his legs — so that likely puts it on the passing game.
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That should be an advantage for Minnesota, if Joshua Dobbs can make a few plays to Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson and the Vikings defense keeps Fields in check — but this probably won't be comfortable.
All but one Vikings game has finished within one score this season, and we saw it happen all last season, too.
Minnesota games just always find a way to be close and compelling at the end, and that's been the case in most recent Bears-Vikings rivalry games. Minnesota needs this win to stay on top of the NFC wild-card race, so count on the Vikings to find a way late, even if it's tight all the way.
Pick: Vikings To Win By 1-6 Points (+280)
Bears vs. Vikings
By Sam Farley
When Justin Fields returned to action with the Bears last week, the first thing to notice was that he had his best rushing game of the season so far. His 104 yards was close to double his previous high of 59 from Week 1, and his 18 rushing attempts smashed the previous high mark of 11.
The Lions haven't been great in terms of rushing yards allowed to QBs this season, but the Vikings are also in the bottom third of the NFL against them, too. What changed is that the Bears appear to have realized what makes Fields a potential gamebreaker and they're letting him play as such instead of trying to turn him into a pocket passer, which felt like the plan to start the season.
Fields' rushing yard line sits at 52.5, and we have to hit the over on that if we believe the Bears will continue to let him try to win games with his feet. I'm sure that they will.
Note: I bet this with the line at 52.5; the best number as of 6:46 p.m. ET on Monday is 55.5.
Pick: Justin Fields Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
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Bears vs. Vikings
After starting off the season trying to become a pocket passer, Fields has returned to his rushing ways.
Last season, Fields hit the over at this number in nine of his last 10 games, averaging around 10 rushing attempts per contest. This season, he had about seven rushes per contest over the first four games before the Bears let him loose. Over the last 2 1/2 games (one game he only played a half due to injury), Fields has 37 rush attempts for over 200 yards.
While the Bears have incentive to tank – and could be eyeing a quarterback in the NFL Draft – they’re going to want to boost Fields’ trade value – that means letting him do what he does best.
The books are likely playing too much into Fields’ early season trends and have him priced as so. I would hit this line all the way up to 65.5 and I don't mind taking the alt lines either.
Pick: Justin Fields Over 55.5 Rushing Yards (-125; PointsBet); 75+ (+195; Caesars); 100+ (+575; Caesars Sportsbook)
Bears vs. Vikings
By Matt Trebby
D’Onta Foreman is doubtful for this game, so the Bears backfield is going to be led by Khalil Herbert and Johnson.
Herbert returned last week for his first game since Week 5, carrying the ball 16 times for 35 yards. He established himself as the Bears’ RB1 again, although his efficiency wasn’t what it was earlier in the season.
Johnson, meanwhile, has been efficient for most of the season. The rookie is averaging 4.5 yards per carry, and he’s coming off a six-carry, 30-yard game last week.
The Viking ranks ninth in Rush DVOA, but their Adjusted DVOA is -0.1%, meaning they’re playing like a middle-of-the-pack defense of late. The increased role should get Johnson six carries, which would be enough for him to hit this over.
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