More from Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson's Picks
Today
Pending
2-WAY PARLAY-106
1u
In form, mega scorers, penalty takers, little reason either of these should be close: https://www.actionnetwork.com/soccer/brandon-andersons-world-cup-long-shot-bets
Erling Haaland-280
2026 World Cup World Cup - Top Team Goalscorer
Harry Kane-200
2026 World Cup World Cup - Top Team Goalscorer
86
E.All 2+ Receptions Yes+145
TB
@
CIN
0.75u
09/13 5:00 PM
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
The first prop I played all year was Bengals tight end Erick All. He caught my eye during camp as Cincinnati's true do-everything tight end. He can block, he can catch, and he is an every-down guy. He is finally healthy after missing all of last season.
In his nine games as a rookie, All had two or more catches seven times, racking up 20+ yards in five of those. He had four catches in two of his three games with 30+ snaps.
Tampa Bay allowed two or more catches to a tight end 20 times last year (including 11 times in their final eight games) and allowed four or more catches 11 times.
I think books are badly underestimating how much All will be part of this Cincinnati offense this season.
39
E.All 3+ Receptions Yes+475
TB
@CIN
0.25u
09/13 5:00 PM
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
The first prop I played all year was Bengals tight end Erick All. He caught my eye during camp as Cincinnati's true do-everything tight end. He can block, he can catch, and he is an every-down guy. He is finally healthy after missing all of last season.
In his nine games as a rookie, All had two or more catches seven times, racking up 20+ yards in five of those. He had four catches in two of his three games with 30+ snaps.
Tampa Bay allowed two or more catches to a tight end 20 times last year (including 11 times in their final eight games) and allowed four or more catches 11 times.
I think books are badly underestimating how much All will be part of this Cincinnati offense this season.
27
E.All 4+ Receptions Yes+1200
TB
@CIN
0.25u
09/13 5:00 PM
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
The first prop I played all year was Bengals tight end Erick All. He caught my eye during camp as Cincinnati's true do-everything tight end. He can block, he can catch, and he is an every-down guy. He is finally healthy after missing all of last season.
In his nine games as a rookie, All had two or more catches seven times, racking up 20+ yards in five of those. He had four catches in two of his three games with 30+ snaps.
Tampa Bay allowed two or more catches to a tight end 20 times last year (including 11 times in their final eight games) and allowed four or more catches 11 times.
I think books are badly underestimating how much All will be part of this Cincinnati offense this season.
26
C.Otton 6+ Receptions Yes+650
TB
@CIN
0.4u
09/13 5:00 PM
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
Cade Otton had all but two tight end catches for Tampa Bay last season. The Bengals allowed a staggering 116 tight-end receptions last year (6.8 per game), most in the NFL, yielding six or more catches to the position in 12 of 17 games.
Otton tends to be more of an all-or-nothing guy.
Over the last two years, he had three or fewer catches in 15 of 30 games. That's half, and it means the line at 3.5 receptions doesn't have much standalone value.
But Otton also had eight games with 6+ catches (including games of 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 9, and 9). So I'll skip the median outcomes and attack the Otton alternate lines.
55
C.Otton 7+ Receptions Yes+1280
TB
@CIN
0.2u
09/13 5:00 PM
46
C.Otton 8+ Receptions Yes+2300
TB
@CIN
0.15u
09/13 5:00 PM
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
Cade Otton had all but two tight end catches for Tampa Bay last season. The Bengals allowed a staggering 116 tight-end receptions last year (6.8 per game), most in the NFL, yielding six or more catches to the position in 12 of 17 games.
Otton tends to be more of an all-or-nothing guy.
Over the last two years, he had three or fewer catches in 15 of 30 games. That's half, and it means the line at 3.5 receptions doesn't have much standalone value.
But Otton also had eight games with 6+ catches (including games of 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 9, and 9). So I'll skip the median outcomes and attack the Otton alternate lines.
38
E.All 20+ Receiving Yards Yes+230
TB
@CIN
0.5u
09/13 5:00 PM
23
PIT -3-110
ATL
@
PIT
1.5u
09/13 5:00 PM
Tua in Pittsburgh against that Patrick Graham defense? Come on down, you’re our first bet of the new NFL season. Grabbing before the 3s are gone. Rivers too.
171
C.Olave o73.5 Rec Yds-115
NO
@
DET
0.75u
09/13 5:00 PM
This line is sitting at Lions -6.5 or -7, which feels like a trap dying to be teased.
I don't truly believe in Tyler Shough leading this New Orleans offense, but the Lions secondary is remarkably banged up for a season that hasn't even started yet. Detroit is starting D.J. Reed and Rock Ya-Sin at corner, with veterans Avonte Maddox and Chuck Clark at safety.
Detroit allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers in each of the last two years. Last season, the Lions faced what I would consider 11 "true" WR1s. Those receivers averaged 5.9 catches for 88 yards on 9.9 targets, hitting 100 yards five times and 120 yards four times.
With rookie Jordan Tyson on IR, this is the Chris Olave show for New Orleans. Olave averaged 2.37 yards per route run with Shough last year (8th best among all WRs), which was a 45% improvement over his numbers with Spencer Rattler.
In his last seven games with Shough, Olave averaged 6.4 catches for 86 yards on 9.9 targets—mirroring exactly what Detroit gives up to WR1s. He went for 100+ yards in three of those seven games, including twice with at least 119 yards.
62
C.Olave 100+ Receiving Yards Yes+225
NO
@DET
0.25u
09/13 5:00 PM
45
C.Olave o119.5 Rec Yds+450
NO
@DET
0.1u
09/13 5:00 PM
This line is sitting at Lions -6.5 or -7, which feels like a trap dying to be teased.
I don't truly believe in Tyler Shough leading this New Orleans offense, but the Lions secondary is remarkably banged up for a season that hasn't even started yet. Detroit is starting D.J. Reed and Rock Ya-Sin at corner, with veterans Avonte Maddox and Chuck Clark at safety.
Detroit allowed the second-most fantasy points to wide receivers in each of the last two years. Last season, the Lions faced what I would consider 11 "true" WR1s. Those receivers averaged 5.9 catches for 88 yards on 9.9 targets, hitting 100 yards five times and 120 yards four times.
With rookie Jordan Tyson on IR, this is the Chris Olave show for New Orleans. Olave averaged 2.37 yards per route run with Shough last year (8th best among all WRs), which was a 45% improvement over his numbers with Spencer Rattler.
In his last seven games with Shough, Olave averaged 6.4 catches for 86 yards on 9.9 targets—mirroring exactly what Detroit gives up to WR1s. He went for 100+ yards in three of those seven games, including twice with at least 119 yards.
32
Under 44.5+100
BUF
@
HOU
1u
09/13 5:00 PM
It shouldn't come as a surprise that I love this under, seeing as I ranked the Bills 18th in my preseason power rankings and bet them to miss the playoffs.
I have huge doubts about everything in Buffalo outside of Josh Allen. DC Jim Leonhard's defense just isn't very talented, and I do not believe in their coaching or special teams. One man alone does not make a team.
Houston's run defense is elite and will not let Joe Brady's power run game dictate the pace.
While Allen is typically excellent against top defenses, he struggles mightily against Houston's man coverage. In 37 games over the last two years, Allen's games against the Texans rank 35th and 36th in dropback success rate. He even lost to Davis Mills last year!
This game just screams under. It's easy to imagine a cagey, playoff-like atmosphere.
Week 1 unders from 41 to 45.5 are 94-56-1 (64%). Allen road unders are 36-24-2 (60%), and C.J. Stroud home unders are an incredible 17-6 (74%). This is simply what both teams do in this spot.
I also think the wrong team is favored—I actually make this line Texans -4.
Historically, close lines don't necessarily mean close games. Since 2015, home 'dogs of less than 3 points have won outright 138 times — but in 84 of those wins (60%) were by a comfortable seven or more points.
Eight of Houston's 13 wins last season came by 7+ points. I'm skipping the +1.5; if we are going to be right, let's really be right.
76
HOU -6.5+255
BUF
@HOU
0.5u
09/13 5:00 PM
It shouldn't come as a surprise that I love this under, seeing as I ranked the Bills 18th in my preseason power rankings and bet them to miss the playoffs.
I have huge doubts about everything in Buffalo outside of Josh Allen. DC Jim Leonhard's defense just isn't very talented, and I do not believe in their coaching or special teams. One man alone does not make a team.
Houston's run defense is elite and will not let Joe Brady's power run game dictate the pace.
While Allen is typically excellent against top defenses, he struggles mightily against Houston's man coverage. In 37 games over the last two years, Allen's games against the Texans rank 35th and 36th in dropback success rate. He even lost to Davis Mills last year!
This game just screams under. It's easy to imagine a cagey, playoff-like atmosphere.
Week 1 unders from 41 to 45.5 are 94-56-1 (64%). Allen road unders are 36-24-2 (60%), and C.J. Stroud home unders are an incredible 17-6 (74%). This is simply what both teams do in this spot.
I also think the wrong team is favored—I actually make this line Texans -4.
Historically, close lines don't necessarily mean close games. Since 2015, home 'dogs of less than 3 points have won outright 138 times — but in 84 of those wins (60%) were by a comfortable seven or more points.
Eight of Houston's 13 wins last season came by 7+ points. I'm skipping the +1.5; if we are going to be right, let's really be right.
38
2-WAY PARLAY+28500
0.1u
Week 1 TE extravaganza yolo 🙃
E.All 4+ Receptions Yes+1200
TB
@CIN
09/13 5:00 PM
C.Otton 8+ Receptions Yes+2100
TB
@CIN
09/13 5:00 PM
18
2-WAY PARLAY+482
0.25u
It shouldn't come as a surprise that I love this under, seeing as I ranked the Bills 18th in my preseason power rankings and bet them to miss the playoffs.
I have huge doubts about everything in Buffalo outside of Josh Allen. DC Jim Leonhard's defense just isn't very talented, and I do not believe in their coaching or special teams. One man alone does not make a team.
Houston's run defense is elite and will not let Joe Brady's power run game dictate the pace.
While Allen is typically excellent against top defenses, he struggles mightily against Houston's man coverage. In 37 games over the last two years, Allen's games against the Texans rank 35th and 36th in dropback success rate. He even lost to Davis Mills last year!
This game just screams under. It's easy to imagine a cagey, playoff-like atmosphere.
Week 1 unders from 41 to 45.5 are 94-56-1 (64%). Allen road unders are 36-24-2 (60%), and C.J. Stroud home unders are an incredible 17-6 (74%). This is simply what both teams do in this spot.
I also think the wrong team is favored—I actually make this line Texans -4.
Historically, close lines don't necessarily mean close games. Since 2015, home 'dogs of less than 3 points have won outright 138 times — but in 84 of those wins (60%) were by a comfortable seven or more points.
Eight of Houston's 13 wins last season came by 7+ points. I'm skipping the +1.5; if we are going to be right, let's really be right.
Under 44.5+100
BUF
@HOU
09/13 5:00 PM
HOU -6.5+255
BUF
@HOU
09/13 5:00 PM
34
4-WAY PARLAY+1226
0.1u
DK Four Square parlay
PHI -4.5-110
WAS
@
PHI
09/13 8:25 PM
DEN +2.5-105
DEN
@
KC
09/15 12:15 AM
TB +4-108
TB
@CIN
09/13 5:00 PM
CHI -2.5-118
CHI
@
CAR
09/13 5:00 PM
27
Over 39.5-115
MIA
@
LV
0.75u
09/13 8:25 PM
This is the grossest game on the slate. But sometimes the games nobody's watching are where we find the best value.
These two units ranked 31st (Vegas) and 32nd (Miami) in my preseason defense rankings. The Raiders don't have much talent outside of Maxx Crosby and will sorely miss Patrick Graham calling the plays. Miami ranked 32nd with a bullet, trotting out a defense with the least talent in the league and leaning heavily on four rookies. Both secondaries are terrible and ripe for the picking.
Klint Kubiak’s offense was ripping off big runs in the preseason, Ashton Jeanty is a go, and Kirk Cousins can hurt this secondary, even without Brock Bowers. It's trickier for Miami, but I'm intrigued by OC Bobby Slowik’s rushing attack built around Malik Willis.
Historically, Week 1-5 overs with a total between 36 and 41 hit at a 57% clip. Indoor totals between 32 and 41 are 92-59-3 (61%) to the over before December. Hold your nose and bet the over.
56
M.Willis o36.5 Rush Yds-115
MIA
@LV
0.75u
09/13 8:25 PM
It only makes sense for Slowik to build this offense around Willis' legs. When Slowik was with the 49ers, he worked closely with Trey Lance, who averaged 12 carries for 60 yards in his three full starts.
In Willis' five NFL starts since his debut, he recorded rushing totals of 40, 43, 41, 73, and 60 yards on just 7.2 attempts per game (a 51-yard average).
The Raiders faced three "running" quarterbacks last year (Marcus Mariota, Jalen Hurts, and Jaxson Dart), and that trio averaged 42 rushing yards per game against them.
Willis has also rushed for four touchdowns over his last four starts, and the Raiders allowed the third-most QB rushing touchdowns last year, including three in those three games against running QBs.
Let's take the Malik Willis opening day escalator with lines that may never be priced this cheap again if he runs as much as expected. If you like the angles, they make a tidy SGP all together too.
58
M.Willis Anytime TD Scorer Yes+340
MIA
@LV
0.5u
09/13 8:25 PM
It only makes sense for Slowik to build this offense around Willis' legs. When Slowik was with the 49ers, he worked closely with Trey Lance, who averaged 12 carries for 60 yards in his three full starts.
In Willis' five NFL starts since his debut, he recorded rushing totals of 40, 43, 41, 73, and 60 yards on just 7.2 attempts per game (a 51-yard average).
The Raiders faced three "running" quarterbacks last year (Marcus Mariota, Jalen Hurts, and Jaxson Dart), and that trio averaged 42 rushing yards per game against them.
Willis has also rushed for four touchdowns over his last four starts, and the Raiders allowed the third-most QB rushing touchdowns last year, including three in those three games against running QBs.
Let's take the Malik Willis opening day escalator with lines that may never be priced this cheap again if he runs as much as expected. If you like the angles, they make a tidy SGP all together too.
58
M.Willis 50+ Rushing Yards Yes+178
MIA
@LV
0.25u
09/13 8:25 PM
46
M.Willis 70+ Rushing Yards Yes+574
MIA
@LV
0.15u
09/13 8:25 PM
It only makes sense for Slowik to build this offense around Willis' legs. When Slowik was with the 49ers, he worked closely with Trey Lance, who averaged 12 carries for 60 yards in his three full starts.
In Willis' five NFL starts since his debut, he recorded rushing totals of 40, 43, 41, 73, and 60 yards on just 7.2 attempts per game (a 51-yard average).
The Raiders faced three "running" quarterbacks last year (Marcus Mariota, Jalen Hurts, and Jaxson Dart), and that trio averaged 42 rushing yards per game against them.
Willis has also rushed for four touchdowns over his last four starts, and the Raiders allowed the third-most QB rushing touchdowns last year, including three in those three games against running QBs.
Let's take the Malik Willis opening day escalator with lines that may never be priced this cheap again if he runs as much as expected. If you like the angles, they make a tidy SGP all together too.
36
M.Willis 100+ Rushing Yards Yes+2400
MIA
@LV
0.1u
09/13 8:25 PM
It only makes sense for Slowik to build this offense around Willis' legs. When Slowik was with the 49ers, he worked closely with Trey Lance, who averaged 12 carries for 60 yards in his three full starts.
In Willis' five NFL starts since his debut, he recorded rushing totals of 40, 43, 41, 73, and 60 yards on just 7.2 attempts per game (a 51-yard average).
The Raiders faced three "running" quarterbacks last year (Marcus Mariota, Jalen Hurts, and Jaxson Dart), and that trio averaged 42 rushing yards per game against them.
Willis has also rushed for four touchdowns over his last four starts, and the Raiders allowed the third-most QB rushing touchdowns last year, including three in those three games against running QBs.
Let's take the Malik Willis opening day escalator with lines that may never be priced this cheap again if he runs as much as expected. If you like the angles, they make a tidy SGP all together too.
35
MIN -1.5-105
GB
@
MIN
1u
09/13 8:25 PM
This isn't just me drinking the purple Kool-Aid; I am sticking to my preseason priors.
I love the Vikings to win the division at +510, as they are the healthiest team in the NFC North. I also bet the Packers to finish last in the division. This division is tough, but Minnesota looks as live as any of the four to have a big season.
Micah Parsons, Josh Jacobs, and Tucker Kraft are Green Bay's most important players after Jordan Love,. Two of them are out, and Kraft is well less than 100%.
The Packers seem very overrated in the market right now without those key players—I make this line closer to Vikings -4 or -5.
Green Bay features a bottom-five offensive line going up against Brian Flores' aggressive pressure defense. Not great.
Matt LaFleur wants to run a heavy ground attack, but he has no actual running backs available; Marshawn Lloyd, Chris Brooks, and Kaleb Johnson have a combined 480 career rushing yards. That's bad news behind a lackluster line.
On the other side, the Packers' run defense collapsed last year. Minnesota boasts a healthy offensive line and Frank Smith's redesigned rushing attack could make its mark early.
This is a dream home spot for the Vikings to jump on a wounded rival in Week 1.
In Week 1 divisional games featuring a playoff team against a non-playoff team, the non-playoff team is 42-18-1 ATS (70%).
The Vikings have won 7 of the last 11 in this rivalry, but 7 of the last 9 meetings have been decided by 13 or more points, so these games are not always close even if it's a huge rivalry.
45
MIN -12.5+440
GB
@MIN
0.25u
09/13 8:25 PM
This isn't just me drinking the purple Kool-Aid; I am sticking to my preseason priors.
I love the Vikings to win the division at +510, as they are the healthiest team in the NFC North. I also bet the Packers to finish last in the division. This division is tough, but Minnesota looks as live as any of the four to have a big season.
Micah Parsons, Josh Jacobs, and Tucker Kraft are Green Bay's most important players after Jordan Love,. Two of them are out, and Kraft is well less than 100%.
The Packers seem very overrated in the market right now without those key players—I make this line closer to Vikings -4 or -5.
Green Bay features a bottom-five offensive line going up against Brian Flores' aggressive pressure defense. Not great.
Matt LaFleur wants to run a heavy ground attack, but he has no actual running backs available; Marshawn Lloyd, Chris Brooks, and Kaleb Johnson have a combined 480 career rushing yards. That's bad news behind a lackluster line.
On the other side, the Packers' run defense collapsed last year. Minnesota boasts a healthy offensive line and Frank Smith's redesigned rushing attack could make its mark early.
This is a dream home spot for the Vikings to jump on a wounded rival in Week 1.
In Week 1 divisional games featuring a playoff team against a non-playoff team, the non-playoff team is 42-18-1 ATS (70%).
The Vikings have won 7 of the last 11 in this rivalry, but 7 of the last 9 meetings have been decided by 13 or more points, so these games are not always close even if it's a huge rivalry.
32
3-WAY PARLAY+850
0.1u
Over 39.5-115
MIA
@LV
09/13 8:25 PM
M.Willis o39.5 Rush Yds-116
MIA
@LV
09/13 8:25 PM
M.Willis Anytime TD Scorer Yes+340
MIA
@LV
09/13 8:25 PM
28
First Team All Pro: C Creed Humphrey+300
1u
Creed Humphrey is the best center in the NFL, and it honestly might not be that close.
Humphrey led the league in PFF grade at center last season, not that it was a real surprise. Humphrey has been in the league five seasons, and he's ranked 1st in PFF grade in four of the five seasons. He was a measly 4th in the other season.
With some of the retirements the last few years, Humphrey stands head and shoulders above the field at center. Young centers like Miami's Aaron Brewer and Pittsburgh's Zach Frazier are playing for second.
Voters don't try to get creative picking First Team All-Pro players — they just take the best guy, and the top linemen win year after year.
Humphrey already cashed this each of the last two seasons, and if he is healthy enough to play most of the season, he should do so again. I'd take him against the field.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more
34
First Team All Pro: S Kyle Hamilton+320
1u
Kyle Hamilton is just as dominant at the safety position, so much so that he's routinely in the conversation for Defensive Player of the Year even though no safety has ever won the award.
Like Humphrey, Hamilton's PFF grades speak for themselves: 1st, 6th, 2nd, and 2nd among almost 100 qualifying safeties in each of those seasons. He's the best in the business, and you know it — and the voters do too.
Hamilton has been used as the fix for all of Baltimore's problems defensively, and that could be even more true under new Ravens head coach Jesse Minter, who loves to weaponize his safeties and move them all over the field like chess pieces.
Under Minter, Hamilton could be even better and more dangerous than ever.
Hamilton cashed this bet as a First Team All-Pro in two of the last three seasons, and he finished Second Team on the one in between despite getting DPOY votes.
We're not exactly breaking news on these last two — betting the favorites — but these prices are just too long.
Like Humphrey, I'd take Hamilton against the field and we get two safety positions on First Team too, so I'll say thanks for the +320 and place my bet.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more
34
First Team All Pro: RT Lane Johnson+550
0.5u
Lane made All Pro his last four healthy seasons. He finished 2nd team 3x but that was to Wirfs and Sewell who are both LT now and this goes specifically to RT
29
Futures
New York Giants+600
2026 NFL NFC East - To Win
1u
Giants Island!! 🏝️🏝️ our worst to first division winner: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-predictions-worst-to-first-picks-rankings
101
New York Jets+5000
2026 NFL AFC East - To Win
0.25u
Worth a worst-first nibble at the long price with an improving D and two favorites fading: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-predictions-worst-to-first-picks-rankings
56
Tristan Wirfs+1150
2026 NFL Protector of the Year
0.75u
Best lineman on what could the the best line on a potential sneaky 1 seed contender. Bullseye fit: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-protector-of-the-year-odds-predictions
66
Quenton Nelson+2400
2026 NFL Protector of the Year
0.5u
We just saw an interior lineman win, and Q is the best guy on the league’s best run blocking line: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-protector-of-the-year-odds-predictions
65
Trent Williams+1329
2026 NFL Protector of the Year
0.25u
Legacy pick, still as good as anyone and could get a legacy boost if this is it: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-protector-of-the-year-odds-predictions
72
Daniel Jones+2200
2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year
0.5u
Not really a believer, but if he looks good off the Achilles tear, it’s a QB award and we saw how good the colts could be last year:  https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-protector-of-the-year-odds-predictions
69
David Bailey+550
2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year
1u
Defense awards want sacks. Rookie awards want pedigree and high draft pick. Bailey is a perfect fit: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds-predictions
124
Jeremiyah Love+550
2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
1u
Insulting price for the obvious most likely winner at basically equal odds to part time Price, backup Mendoza, and Titans WR1 Tate. Buy the dip: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds-predictions
151
Mike Washington+5000
2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
0.25u
One Jeanty reinjury away from a huge role for Kubiak and real runway for OROY: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds-predictions
95
Emmett Johnson+10000
2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
0.1u
Dart throw on a guy one Kenneth Walker injury away from being Mahomes lead rb: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-rookie-of-the-year-odds-predictions
85
Nico Collins+4000
2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year
0.5u
OPOY is trending toward WR award now and it’s a bet on outlier seasons so build a portfolio If long shot candidates and hope we hit the long tail: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions
95
Jaylen Waddle+12500
2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year
0.5u
OPOY is trending toward WR award now and it’s a bet on outlier seasons so build a portfolio If long shot candidates and hope we hit the long tail: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions
83
Ladd McConkey+15000
2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year
0.25u
OPOY is trending toward WR award now and it’s a bet on outlier seasons so build a portfolio If long shot candidates and hope we hit the long tail: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions
90
Parker Washington+40000
2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year
0.25u
OPOY is trending toward WR award now and it’s a bet on outlier seasons so build a portfolio If long shot candidates and hope we hit the long tail: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-offensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions
64
Will Anderson+750
2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year
1.5u
Absolute bullseye for DPOY criteria. Stud 2-way guy entering prime on leagues best defense: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions
117
Aidan Hutchinson+950
2026 NFL Defensive Player of the Year
1u
Perfect fit for DPOY criteria with age, sack, team D and wins. Playing with Will for DPOY portfolio: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-defensive-player-of-the-year-odds-predictions
99
Patrick Mahomes+1700
2026 NFL MVP
1u
You may never get 17-1 on Mahomes again. Not this year, maybe ever. Absurd price esp with a soft opening sched. Get your ticket before it’s gone: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-mvp-odds-predictions
98
Lamar Jackson+1100
2026 NFL MVP
1u
4 healthy Lamar seasons = 2 MVP, 1 runner up. Not deterred by last years injuries or new coaching staff. Bet on the team, start portfolio with him & Mahomes: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2026-nfl-mvp-odds-predictions
88
Rhamondre Stevenson+6000
2026 NFL Regular Season - Most Rushing TDs
0.25u
McDaniels offenses almost always top 6 in rush TDs and he could get some back that TreVeyon and Drake had last year: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-touchdown-leader-predictions-season-long-picks
76
Brock Bowers+2500
2026 NFL Regular Season - Most Receptions
0.25u
DO NOT BET!! If you havent played yet before the late breaking Injury news, skip this now or cash out if possible
Bowers in for a monster season as the lead target in a Kubiak offense and a TE has finished top 4 in rec each of the last 4 years. He’s in the mix if healthy: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-tight-end-futures-bets-best-picks-for-brock-bowers-colston-loveland-sam-laporta k
55
Jaylen Waddle+6000
2026 NFL Regular Season - Most Receiving Yards
0.25u
Love Waddle’s upside in unknown Webb offense with Nox having a great deep ball. If the volume is up and his YPC hits big, he could push 1700+ yards: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more
80
Brock Bowers o82.5-115
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Receptions
1u
DO NOT BET!! If you havent played yet before the late breaking Injury news, skip this now or cash out if possible
Bowers struggled through injuries last season, finishing with just 64 catches for 680 yards and seven scores, but his rookie season told a different story. In his NFL debut, Bowers racked up 112 catches for 1,194 yards on 153 targets, earning a First Team All-Pro berth with his dominance.
Even last year with disappointing numbers, Bowers had one game with 12 receptions for 127 yards and three scores, and his 17-game pace after returning from early injury was 96 catches and 967 yards on 125 targets, not far off his rookie pace even as he struggled through injury.
Now that Bowers is healthy again, there's a lot of reason to believe he should be in for a huge season.
For all the fantasy football questions about whether Tre Tucker, Jalen Nailor, or Jack Bech is the Raiders' WR1, isn't the answer pretty obvious?
It's Brock Bowers.
He's by far the most talented option, and Kirk Cousins has made a career of throwing to his TE security blanket. Many rookie QBs love an easy security blanket target too, so Bowers should thrive under Fernando Mendoza eventually.
And then you remember new Raiders head coach Klint Kubiak and how he's opened up offenses in Seattle and New Orleans the last two seasons. Kubiak is a wizard in the run game and does a great job elevating offensive lines, and that should help Bowers get back to what he does best — leaving the line to do the dirty work and racking up catches and yardage downfield instead.
Lest you forget, Kubiak coached the reigning Offensive Player of the Year last season in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and he fed him early and often. JSN had 8+ targets in 13-of-17 games (76%), and he had double-digit targets in over half of them. He had 8+ receptions in 10 games (59%).
That's actually not all that far from the numbers Bowers put up as a rookie for the Raiders. He had 8+ targets in 11-of-17 games (65%), and he too had double-digit targets in over half of his final 13 games that year once he settled in.
If Bowers stays healthy, that should set him up for at least 150 targets, as he had as a rookie and like JSN had last year (163, actually). That's huge volume for a tight end and sets up some monster numbers.
Bowers has caught 74% of his passes in his career, even with poor QB play, and JSN was at 73% last season under Kubiak. The math on 150+ targets means over 110 receptions if that plays out, and even at Bowers' career 10.6 yards per catch, that would mean almost 1,200 yards. And as talented as Bowers is, there could be potential for more.
I'm ready to invest.
If you play fantasy football, I'm paying just about any price I have to for Bowers in an auction league, especially if it's PPR.
In the world of betting, I'm building a full Bowers escalator.
I love Bowers to go over 82.5 receptions (-115, DraftKings). Even last year, playing through injuries for most of the season, Bowers was at a 91-catch pace for the season. If he can stay on the field, this one should be a cinch.
I'm also playing Bowers at +350 to lead all tight ends in receiving yards.
Trey McBride is the top contender there, but I see McBride stepping back this season after a fluke outlier role while Arizona tanked and passed at outrageous rates down the stretch.
With Marvin Harrison Jr. healthy and Jeremiyah Love in tow, the Cardinals have plenty of other options and McBride should drop back to the pack a bit. He's no match for Bowers, by talent or situation.
But Bowers has so much potential that he could compete with wide receivers, too. I think he has a real chance to lead the entire league in receptions, so I'll play that too at +2500 (bet365).
Over the last four seasons, we've seen six seasons of 120+ receptions. That's at least one each season, but only one of those hit 130.
A tight end ranked top-four in receptions in all four of those years, always at 110 or better.
If Bowers is the top tight end, he should be in range. He'll likely need to get into the 120s to cash this, and health is always a bigger risk for tight ends, but if we get 17 full games, there's every reason to believe Bowers could contend for the receptions crown.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-tight-end-futures-bets-best-picks-for-brock-bowers-colston-loveland-sam-laporta
51
Colston Loveland o69.5-114
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Receptions
1u
Loveland was the first draft pick of the Ben Johnson era in Chicago, and we're already starting to see why. Loveland looks like a future All-Pro — outstanding both as a blocker and a pass catcher — a guy that can do everything in any role.
Loveland finished with 58 catches for 713 yards and six scores as a rookie, but it took him a while to get going.
From Week 9 forward, once Loveland caught his stride, his 17-game pace was far more impressive at 80 catches for 1,015 yards and 10 TDs, and his production in the playoffs was even better. Including the postseason, Loveland ended the year with four straight games with double-digit targets.
D.J. Moore is gone now, and while everyone in fantasy argues over whether they prefer Rome Odunze or Luther Burden III, the right answer might just be Loveland.
Loveland's season-long receptions prop at 69.5 catches is far too low, just 12 higher than last season when he missed a game and didn't really break out until the second half of the season.
He should also be a consistent touchdown threat in this offense, and Johnson has already shown he loves to get the ball to his TEs in the red zone. Remember, Loveland was on pace for double-digit scores in the second half of last season.
If I can't get Bowers somehow in fantasy football this season, Loveland is the next TE on my list.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-tight-end-futures-bets-best-picks-for-brock-bowers-colston-loveland-sam-laporta
59
Parker Washington o62.5-115
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Receptions
1u
Jacksonville's receiving corps really found itself over the back half of the season.
Going into the season last fall, we expected Brian Thomas Jr. to be the star with rookie Travis Hunter starring in the slot.
But Hunter never got healthy and looks like he'll be mostly a cornerback this season, and Thomas got a case of the dropsies and never got on track.
Once the Jaguars traded for Jakobi Meyers midseason, everything finally settled in.
Meyers does the short, dirty work, and Thomas has become something of a sacrificial X, stretching the field, but Parker Washington has become the target man in Liam Coen's offense.
Over the final four games of the season, including the playoffs, Washington's numbers would pace to 111 catches for 1,930 yards and 13 TDs on 175 targets over a full 17-game season. That's a tiny sample size, of course, but it's not all that shocking if you consider Coen's history.
The man loves to pepper his power slot target. Wan'Dale Robinson averaged over 100 yards a game for Coen at Kentucky. Cooper Kupp was on pace for 150/1,700 through eight games in 2022 before getting hurt as the fantasy WR1. Then two years later, Chris Godwin was on pace for 120/1,400 himself through seven games before also getting hurt as fantasy WR2.
You might not think Washington is a star, but you probably didn't expect anywhere near the numbers those guys put up either, and Washington has shown a bit more explosion for big catches on top of everything else.
Based on Coen's history, a healthy Washington season could put him in the mix for 130 catches and 1,700+ yards. We literally need less than half of that to cash this bet, so it's an easy over at 62.5 catches.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-season-long-props-joe-burrow-ladd-mcconkey-jaylen-waddle-more
52
Carolina Panthers u7.5-125
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
2u
My favorite win total on the board this season for a team with zero ceiling and all floor: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
63
Washington Commanders u7.5-125
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
1.5u
Season might be DOA without Tunsil and the opening schedule is brutal: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
67
Atlanta Falcons u7.5-125
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
1.5u
The pass rush is gone and there’s no QB. Could get ugly. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
70
Tennessee Titans u6.5-130
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
This line would be a full win lower if not for AFC South misperception: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
61
Carolina Panthers u5.5+245
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
Alt under but this is about where I project Carolina for the season and the bottom could fall out if it goes sideways: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
44
New York Giants o7.5+115
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
Giants Island! 🏝️ effectively a 7 win team last year and got much better esp D and coaching: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
73
Buffalo Bills u10.5+125
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
0.75u
The Bills are listed as AFC favorites, but I'm out.
This isn't about Josh Allen — he's my No. 1 quarterback. It's about Joe Brady's overly run-heavy play calling and the massive drop-off defensively and in the coaching staff.
Sean McDermott maximized his defensive talent, and replacing him with Jim Leonhard is a huge risk given the bottom-seven talent on this defense. They also lost special teams ace Chris Tabor.
The opening schedule is brutal: at Houston, a short week against Detroit, then the Chargers, Patriots, and at the Rams. They could easily start 2-3 or even 1-4.
McDermott was so good at raising this team's floor, as Buffalo had gone over in seven of nine seasons. Sometimes you don't know what you got til it's gone.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
61
Buffalo Bills No+280
2026 NFL To Make The Playoffs
0.75u
The Bills are listed as AFC favorites, but I'm out.
This isn't about Josh Allen — he's my No. 1 quarterback. It's about Joe Brady's overly run-heavy play calling and the massive drop-off defensively and in the coaching staff.
Sean McDermott maximized his defensive talent, and replacing him with Jim Leonhard is a huge risk given the bottom-seven talent on this defense. They also lost special teams ace Chris Tabor.
The opening schedule is brutal: at Houston, a short week against Detroit, then the Chargers, Patriots, and at the Rams. They could easily start 2-3 or even 1-4.
McDermott was so good at raising this team's floor, as Buffalo had gone over in seven of nine seasons. Sometimes you don't know what you got til it's gone.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
52
Denver Broncos No+134
2026 NFL To Make The Playoffs
0.75u
The Broncos face the Chiefs, Jaguars, Rams, 49ers, Chargers, and Seahawks in their first six games, so we can fade now and adjust later if needed: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
53
Minnesota Vikings+510
2026 NFL NFC North - To Win
1u
Vikings could have top 10 O and D if things bounce right and they’re the healthiest team in a division where every win counts. No way they should be priced this long: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
58
Minnesota Vikings o8.5-115
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
1u
I'm drinking the purple Kool-Aid because the betting market is pricing the Vikings all wrong.
This offense has top-three skill players you already know, and a healthy Christian Darrisaw on the line gives that unit top-10 potential. Frank Smith's scheme has added a creative run game featuring Jordan Mason to Kevin O'Connell's passing attack.
And for all the deserving questions about Kyler Murray, he is unquestionably a massive upgrade over the worst-in-the-league QB play the team got last year from J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer — and still went over .500.
Minnesota's defense lacks high-end talent, but DC Brian Flores makes them a top-10 unit. This could be a team that ranks top 10 on both offense and defense, playing in a division that looks entirely up for grabs with all four teams projected within a win of each other.
Considering the key players missing for Green Bay, Detroit, and Chicago and the fact that Minnesota is healthy and ready, that makes this the easiest division long shot on the board.
52
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+180
2026 NFL NFC South - To Win
3u
My fav team bet on the board for the new yr. I have Bucs 3g clear of a bad field. Legit above avg offense & defense, good enough to contend for 1 seed. Multi unit bet: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
103
Tampa Bay Buccaneers o8.5+122
2026 NFL Regular Season - Total Wins
0.5u
Prefer the division bet at better odds cuz Carolina just went under this number and won NFC South anyway: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
47
New England Patriots+145
2026 NFL AFC East - To Win
0.5u
It's hard to run it back after losing a Super Bowl.
Regression comes for everyone, and the Patriots played an outrageously soft schedule last year while going 8-3 in one-score games. Super Bowl losers are 16-6 to the under in the past 22 seasons, and only one Super Bowl loser has made it back to the final game since 1993.
Still, New England got significantly better on paper. The offense adds A.J. Brown, Romeo Doubs, and Alijah Vera-Tucker and was already ranked third in DVOA.
The defensive metrics were not the best last year after the team added a ton of veteran help, but they didn't get healthy until late in the season — and we saw how that carried New England to the Super Bowl, once they did.
Even with some Patriots skepticism, I still have this as the best team in the division with my Bills disbelief.
The AFC East is a perfect spot to play an exact outcome since there's a top two and a bottom two. An exact outcome of Patriots, Bills, Jets, Dolphins pays out at +450 (HardRock) and looks worth the escalator.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
46
Dallas Cowboys+1300
2026 NFL NFC Conference - To Win
0.25u
Everyone is on the Cowboys, which always makes you nervous, but the roster is undeniable.
Defensively, Dallas arguably upgraded nine of 11 starting positions from opening day last year, adding key names like Quinnen Williams, Caleb Downs, and Rashad Gary. This unit was already much better when Williams was on the field last year, and new DC Christian Parker comes highly regraded from the Vic Fangio tree and should help this unit take an immediate leap.
Offensively, Dak Prescott runs a top-10 unit with the best WR trio in CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens, and Ryan Flournoy, and OC Klayton Adams has given Dallas a creative, top-notch rushing attack.
The new concern is Tyler Smith’s injury on the offensive line. Smith is the best man on this line, and his absence makes this a below-average line to start the season, and Dallas faces some tough opponents without him.
There are dreams of Super Bowl hopes in Dallas, but unless the defenses leaps from last to above average, the offense still needs to show it can be top five and not just top 10.
I think this takes some time — to get healthy and to gel with the new defensive talent and scheme — so I actually prefer the playoff version of the Cowboys to the regular season one.
I don't need median outcomes here; I want the long-tail upside.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
57
Kansas City Chiefs+180
2026 NFL AFC West - To Win
1u
I'm simply not ready to bury the Chiefs after one bad season where Patrick Mahomes got hurt and they still finished 15th overall in DVOA with a top-eight offense before the injury.
The offense has been good but not elite for three years, but the offensive line looks improved and Kenneth Walker raises the ceiling of this offense immensely with his explosive ability. Look at what Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley did in recent years, adding an elite back to an already good offense.
The receivers are still lackluster, but the scheme can only improve with OC Eric Bieniemy back in place of Matt Nagy.
Steve Spagnuolo will figure out the defense. Kansas City replaces its top two corners but Spags always gets this unit rolling.
The Chiefs also draw a favorable third-place schedule with a nice cushy start as Mahomes returns from injury, setting the Chiefs up for a fast start. They're an easy division bet heading into the season with the Broncos and Chargers facing tough schedules early.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-power-rankings-season-futures-over-unders-for-every-team
65
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.75u |
| Last 7 Days | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1.18u |
| Last 30 Days | 2-0-0 | 100% | 1.18u |
| All Time | 3058-4438-120 | 40% | 1090.51u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 1490-2056-72 | 41% | 527.37u |
| NFL | 1317-2020-40 | 39% | 458.54u |
| NCAAB | 185-256-5 | 41% | 80.82u |
| NCAAF | 31-26-1 | 53% | 16.94u |
| Champions | 6-4-1 | 55% | 7.98u |
| WNBA | 5-7-0 | 42% | 5.32u |
| MLS | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.66u |
| ATP | 1-3-0 | 25% | 1.13u |
| La Liga | 1-0-0 | 100% | 1.04u |
| Women's World Cup | 1-0-0 | 100% | 0.01u |
| World Cup | 8-23-1 | 25% | -2.54u |
| Premier League | 3-14-0 | 18% | -8.91u |
On Social
Betting Highlights
Favorite Bet of All-Time
Bet the Texans to go from worst to first in the division, and even doubled down with a Will Anderson DROY cherry on top. Joe Flacco CPOY +25000 and Nuggets over Heat +1600 exact outcome were fun, too!
Most Heartbreaking Bet
MVP bets. Tom Brady +1400 in 2021, odds-on favorite in December, but shutout vs. Saints on SNF. Nikola Jokic +900 in 2023, rightful leader all the way, but the moron voters get bored and go with Embiid last minute. Brock Purdy +5000 in 2024, odds-on favorite on Christmas, but the voters are too proud to vote for him or Dak. You're killin' me, Smalls!