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Promoguy’s Bets for Thursday, Including Boosts & Promos from Seahawks-49ers

Promoguy’s Bets for Thursday, Including Boosts & Promos from Seahawks-49ers article feature image
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Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images. Pictured: Christian McCaffrey.

PromoGuy covers +EV odds boosts, promos and more for Action. Follow him on Twitter and in the Action Network app.

It’s a busy night in the promo and boost world as the 49ers take on the Seahawks on Thursday Night Football. We’ve also got a primetime NBA matchup between the Jazz and Pelicans that features heavily in our betting card.

I have two boosts at FanDuel (one that’s +EV on its own, one worth using free bets on), three plays at DraftKings and first TD insurance at BetMGM.

FanDuel

1. NBA Super Boost

FanDuel is offering a strong boost of Zion Williamson to score 30+ points and the Pelicans to beat the Jazz tonight. It’s playable now but I’ll wait til closer to tip to tweet it out.

I’ll put out the exact EV closer to gametime, so follow me on Twitter and look out for that post in a bit.

Pick: Zion 30+ & Pelicans Win

What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.


2. PMI

FanDuel’s PMI boost is -EV, but if you have free bets left from earlier this week, this is a good opportunity to use them. They will convert to cash at greater than an 85% rate.

We need Christian McCaffrey and George Kittle to each score a touchdown, and CMC to post 80+ yards from scrimmage. The boost pays +750. So while not a play on its own, it’s worth using free bets on.

What is QuickSlip?

QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.


DraftKings

1. CMC Anytime TD

I’m taking this Christian McCaffrey anytime TD boost, down from -145 to +100.

I believe the fair value is around -115, giving it 7% EV.

Taking this boost on draftkings:

Believe fair is around -115 giving this a ~+7% EV https://t.co/a5x7fENZvT

— The Promoguy (@ThePromoguy123) December 15, 2022

2. 33% SGP Boost

DraftKings has a 33% SGPx boost for Thursday, so I’m taking

  • Bruins moneyline vs. the Kings
  • Bruins over 0.5 goals in the first period
  • Jazz moneyline vs. the Pelicans

An SGPx is a way to combine same game parlays and single bets — for this promo, I need to bet at least two legs of the same game, then a single leg of another game.

Draftkings 33% sgpx boost: pic.twitter.com/az6bcXfl2m

— The Promoguy (@ThePromoguy123) December 15, 2022

3. First Drive Boost

DraftKings is giving a 50% profit boost on either side of the “first drive” prop — aka will it end in points or not.

I’m taking “yes” boosted to +246 for TNF. Opt into the boost here.

BetMGM

As always, I’m playing the first touchdown insurance promo at BetMGM. Bet on a first TD scorer, and you’ll get free bets back if it doesn’t cash, up to $25.

I’m taking 49ers TE George Kittle at +1200 tonight.

A few weeks ago, I did a writeup on how I calculate the EV for this promo and how I make my selections. I’m often looking for players toward the top of the board who are priced better at BetMGM than other sportsbooks.

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