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Duren's confidence is up, and we saw some double-big pairing with him and Reed to close the game, which could carry forward to tonight. Allen's DREB has been capped at 3-4 every game this series: 3, 3, 3, 4, 1. Cleveland's defensive scheme uses guards to crash the boards and Mobley competes for every paint rebound, structurally limiting Allen's individual defensive share. His career playoff OREB average is 3.0 per game but the recent spike to 13 OREB combined over the last two games is variance, highly unsustainable, and not a new baseline. Both Cleveland bigs are publicly focused on Duren's offensive rebounding for G7. Allen said postgame: "Paul Reed has been incredible this series. We have to find a way to shut this water off. And Jalen Duren on the offensive boards was not the boxing out more". When both bigs (Duren & Mobley) are committed to the same boards, the rebound credit splits; Allen's individual share compresses. Add Duren at 25-27 minutes pulling Allen out of position on Cade-Duren PnR coverage and the structural ceiling collapses. I am expecting the range to fall closer to 6.8 than above like L2 outliers. #PlayerProps

#Tailing @wheatonbrando

Post rd1, Game 7 unders are still a thing: 26-11 since 03, 70% by 7.3ppg, incl 7-4 since bubble (64%). 25 those 26 unders maxed 200 or less, about half 190 or less. G7 under mineshaft, all the way down. 📉