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#EV 3.68% Pinny -104 BO -100

Love today’s matchup for Oneil Cruz vs Brady Singer. Singer has always struggled more vs Lefties & he’s allowing a .366 AVG to them so far this season. He’s also struggled more on the road in each of the last 4 seasons. He’s also allowed a high xBA (.295) & xERA (5.35) & is not getting many Whiffs (21%) or Ks (14.2%). This is good for a guy like Oneil Cruz who swings & misses a ton (1st Percentile Whiff%). In 11 PAs, Cruz is 4 for 9 (.444 AVG) with 2 Walks & only 2 Ks. Singer has allowed 3+ Runs in 5/6 career starts vs PIT, allowing 4+ in the 2 most recent games last season, so I think the PIT offense can find success.

📚Onyx

This one let us down last game, but we are going back to it. his shots are down in the playoffs, and between the regular season and the playoffs he has been held under this line in 47/76(61.8%) of games. an away game 6 should be hard fought so I don't think it is a good matchup even with Hagel playing more minutes than usual.

THE BAT X is forecasting 0.36 walks for Mickey Moniak. Oddsmakers are implying 0.24 walks, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you'd be projected to win 31% of the time resulting in a 48% ROI with expected value of $47.95 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least +252. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz