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J.Norris u1.5 SOG-110

FLA

BUF

$1.00

10/12 5:00 PM

10/12 5:00 PM

1.02u

10/13 12:00 AM

L.Henderson u15.5 Outs-124

LAD

MIL

0.62u

10/12 9:00 PM

(DK) Tailing Sean. This is an oddly high number even if I am on the Brewers here. Didn't exceed 5 IP in his NLDS start OR any of his L3 regular season.

L.Henderson u15.5 Outs-122

LAD

MIL

0.24u

10/12 9:00 PM

Bet to -150

LA -2.5-115

BUF

2.3u

10/13 12:15 AM

Sent out earlier in the week…. Analysis on my Twitter @ anderspicks Would play 3 for 2U still and to 3.5 -105 for 1U

MIL +125

LAD

MIL

10/12 9:00 PM

(Novig) Henderson better SIERA/xERA & same xFIP/FIP as Yamamoto. Similar pitch modeling grades too. Only give LAD small 4-5 pt wRC+ edge. MIL around 20 FRV edge, 7 BRR edge + home field. Bullpens have pitched to almost the same estimators through 5 post-season games each so far. BARTOLO ranks them #1 & #3 with LAD 0.3 run edge. Have it closer to even. Think Yamamoto slightly overpriced due to postseason narratives.

Y.Yamamoto o6.5 Ks-113

LAD

MIL

0.57u

10/12 9:00 PM

(Novig) Rare pitcher who's workload increases post-season. 25.4 K% LHBs, 26.1% RHBs - proj 25 (14/11) - 1st 25 in MIL proj LU avg 23.7 K% v RHP. Around 13% park/ump/weather boost. Wouldn't play much higher.