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MIA @ SD

1:40 am • BSSD

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Yu Darvish logoY. DarvishSan Diego Padres logo3.267-3
Sandy Alcantara logoS. AlcantaraMiami Marlins logo1.958-3

Marlins vs. Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins
35-40
+1.5
+1.5-191
o6.5-114
+113
Padres
46-33
u6.5
-1.5+165
u6.5-105
-133
location pinSaturday 1:40 a.m.
May 07, 2022
PETCO ParkSan Diego

Marlins vs. Padres Notes

Matchup Contrasts

Avisail Garcia has a miss rate of 26% on fastballs down this season -- 11th worst in MLB -- ninth Percentile. Yu Darvish has located his fastball down 38% of the time this season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP -- 90th Percentile.
Eric Hosmer is batting .391 with RISP this season -- tied for eighth best in MLB -- 92nd Percentile. Opponents are hitting .350 (7-for-20) against Sandy Alcantara with RISP this season -- tied for fifth worst among qualified SPs -- eighth Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (21/166) against Sandy Alcantara on inside fastballs since the start of last season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% (144/245) against Sandy Alcantara in two-strike counts since the start of last season -- 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 95th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .181 (26 Total Bases / 144 ABs) on low non-fastballs since the start of last season -- 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .298 -- 96th Percentile.
Yu Darvish has allowed a slugging percentage of just .132 (5 Total Bases / 38 ABs) on non-fastballs this season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .341 -- 96th Percentile.

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Marlins vs. Padres Expert Picks

MIA
SD
Over
1
Under
1

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

16 props
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RBI

15 props
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HR

15 props
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Singles

15 props
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Doubles

15 props
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Pitching Outs

2 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 6thMIAW 2-1+1.5 WU 7.5SD +100
May 4th@CLEL 5-6-1.5 LO 7CLE -145
May 4th@CLEW 5-4-1.5 LO 7SD -133
May 1st@PITW 5-2-1.5 WU 7.5SD -190
Apr 30th@PITL 6-7-1.5 LO 7.5PIT -166

Marlins vs. Padres Public Betting

25%

Bets%

75%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
40-3914-2326-1622-2918-10
Marlins
38-3718-1720-2015-1723-19

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres
34-43-213-23-121-20-122-28-112-15-1
Marlins
38-36-121-1417-22-117-1521-20-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
46-3321-1625-1730-2116-12
Marlins
35-4019-1616-2421-1114-28

Marlins vs. Padres Injury Updates

Marlins Injuries

  • Jorge Soler

    OF

    Jorge Soler (back) to be placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.

    IF

    Jazz Chisholm Jr. (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Cody Poteet

    P

    Cody Poteet (elbow) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Jesús Luzardo

    P

    Jesús Luzardo (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Anthony Bender

    P

    Bender is out with back

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Padres Injuries

  • Pierce Johnson

    P

    Johnson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Wil Myers

    OF

    Wil Myers (knee) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Drew Pomeranz

    P

    Pomeranz is out with elbow

    Out

  • Fernando Tatis Jr.

    IF

    Tatis Jr. is out with wrist

    Out

  • Austin Adams

    P

    Adams is out with arm

    Out

  • Adrian Morejon

    P

    Morejon is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Matt Beaty

    OF

    Matt Beaty (shoulder) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Steven Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with hamstring

    Out

Marlins vs. Padres Box Score

Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RS. Alcantara, P
944.252
LR. Bleier, P
171.100
LT. Scott, P
28120
RC. Poteet, P
29110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Chisholm Jr., 2B
1-4100
2J. Aguilar, 1B
1-4112
3G. Cooper, DH
1-4000
3B. De La Cruz, PR
0-0000
4J. Wendle, 3B
0-3000
4J. Soler, PH
0-0000
5A. García, RF
1-4000
6J. Berti, LF
1-4000
7J. Sánchez, CF
1-4000
8M. Rojas, SS
0-3000
9J. Stallings, C
0-3000
Padres Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RY. Darvish, P
97732
RR. Suarez, P
7110
RS. Wilson, P
25100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Cronenworth, DH
0-3000
2H. Kim, SS
0-3000
3M. Machado, 3B
2-3101
4E. Hosmer, 1B
1-4001
5J. Profar, LF
0-3000
6A. Nola, C
0-4000
7T. Grisham, CF
1-2100
8M. Beaty, RF
1-2101
8T. Thompson, PH
0-2000
8T. Thompson, RF
0-2000
9C. Abrams, 2B
0-3000

Line Move Data

TimeMIA lineSD line
05/07/2022, 1:41 AM +1.5 -191-1.5 +165
05/07/2022, 1:35 AM +1.5 -200-1.5 +165
05/07/2022, 12:57 AM +1.5 -200-1.5 +170
05/06/2022, 11:48 PM +1.5 -197-1.5 +167
05/06/2022, 10:59 PM +1.5 -197-1.5 +170
05/06/2022, 10:38 PM +1.5 -198-1.5 +170
05/06/2022, 10:17 PM +1.5 -198-1.5 +167
05/06/2022, 10:01 PM +1.5 -198-1.5 +165
05/06/2022, 10:00 PM +1.5 -200-1.5 +165
05/06/2022, 9:51 PM +1.5 -197-1.5 +165

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • 1st Inn
  • F5
SportsBook
MIA
SD
Open
+130-150
Consensus
+113
-133
Best Line

Marlins vs. Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Marlins
35-40
o3-115
u3-115
Padres
46-33
o3-120
u3-110

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