MLB Props

MLB Expert Prop Bets

MIN
21-20
BAL
15-24
3 picks
4:05 PM
MASN2
STL
23-19
PHI
24-17
1 pick
5:05 PM
FDSMW
NYY
24-18
SEA
23-18
3 picks
8:10 PM
MLB Network
TB
19-22
TOR
20-21
6 picks
11:07 PM
SN1
PIT
14-29
NYM
28-15
1 pick
11:10 PM
SportsNet PT
CWS
13-29
CIN
20-23
1 pick
11:14 PM
CHSN
WSH
17-26
ATL
21-21
2 picks
11:15 PM
FDSSO
MIA
15-26
CHC
25-18
2 picks
11:40 PM
MARQ
LAA
17-24
SD
26-15
1 pick
1:40 AM
FDSW
ATH
22-20
LAD
27-15
1 pick
2:10 AM
SportsNet LA
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 34-115-7 (+27.2u)
23
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 25-33-3 (-23.4u)
MJC Locks
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 7-31-1 (-4.6u)
PRO
MLB Prop Projections
PlayerPickPROOddsEdge
I.Kiner-Falefa Image
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
Singles
11:10 pm
PIT @ NYM
Over
Singles
0.98
o0.5+110
14.8%
I.Kiner-Falefa Image
Pittsburgh Pirates Logo
Hits
11:10 pm
PIT @ NYM
Hits
H.Kim Image
Los Angeles Dodgers Logo
H.Kim
Singles
2:10 am
ATH @ LAD
Singles

MLB Prop Odds Comparison

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Expert Analysis on MLB Props

Prop Bets By Game

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MLB Player Prop Categories

MLB Player Props Overview

MLB player props are growing in popularity as more and more sportsbooks start to offer bigger menus of betting options.

Here, you'll find odds comparisons for a variety of MLB props, the biggest edges against our projections, and some of our experts' favorite prop picks of the day.

Here are some of the most popular MLB props you can expect to handicap and bet. 

Strikeouts

Sportsbooks will offer the total strikeouts for each starting pitcher in the game, adjusted for each pitcher's ability and the team they're facing. Let's use an example from Mets vs. Yankees.

  • Max Scherzer: 8.5 (over +115, under -148)
  • Domingo German: 3.5 (over -174, under +134)

If you bet Scherzer over 8.5 strikeouts, he'll need 9 K's, and you'll get paid $1.15 for every dollar risked (because it's +115). If you want to bet the under, you'd need to risk $1.48 for every dollar you want to win.

The opposite is true for German. His total is only 3.5, but you have to pay handsomely ($1.74 for every $1 you want to win) to take the over.

Home Runs

Some sportsbooks will give you two options when betting player home runs, while others will only give you the "yes" option.

Every player is more likely to not hit a home run in a single game, so you're always getting plus-money on home runs. Take this example from BetRivers for Cardinals vs. Blue Jays:

  • Vlad Guerrero Jr. HR: +360 ($10 wins $36)
  • Vlad Jr. no HR: -530 ($53 means $10)

FanDuel on the other hand only offers the player to hit a home run, which it also priced at Guerrero +360. You just can't lay the juice with the "no" side.

Guerrero homered in 42 of his 161 games in 2021, just 26% of the time. Even for a player with that much power, that's not a whole lot of games, which is why you'll see him offered at north of +300.

To Record a Hit

Certain sportsbooks offer this prop differently. Some books list it as "to get a hit" while others offer over or under 0.5 or 1.5 hits.

The line will correlate with how likely that player is to get a hit, of course. In that Mets-Yankees game, we see the following lines.

  • Aaron Judge: -225 to get a hit, +165 no hit
  • Aaron Hicks: -110 to get a hit, -110 no hit
  • Starling Marte: -270 to get a hit, +195 no hit

DraftKings is saying that Judge and Marte have a 70% chance or better to record a single hit, while Hicks is about 50/50. 

Pitcher Outs

Pitcher outs has become a popular way to support or fade a pitcher without considering strikeouts. Sportsbooks will offer over or under on a set number of outs, which translates to how many innings they throw.

For example, Nathan Eovaldi's outs line for Red Sox-Guardians is set at 17.5. That means if he pitches 6 full innings, he goes over, because that's 18 outs. If he goes 5 2/3 innings or less, the under would cash.

MLB Player Props FAQs
Where can I bet MLB player props?
Almost every major American sportsbook will offer MLB player props, though some have more than others. DraftKings and FanDuel offer 
What kind of MLB props do sportsbooks offer?
MLB props have expanded in the last few years. The most popular are pitcher strikeouts and players to hit a home run. Here are some other props offered: Strikeouts by pitcher Player to hit home run Player to get a hit Over/under 0.5 or 1.5 RBIs Player to hit a single Player to hit a double Player to hit a triple Player to steal a base Pitcher total outs
Are MLB props a good bet?
Well, it depends on the bet of course. But generally, props are more inefficient markets because sportsbooks cannot price them all accurately enough as you can if you specialize in certain areas.