Latest MLB Betting Picks
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 69-96-5 (+3.5u)
J.Misiorowski o1.5 BB+185
TB
@
MIL
0.27u
10/24 12:00 AM
D.Rasmussen o1.5 BB+115
TB
@MIL
0.43u
10/24 12:00 AM
D.Rasmussen o4.5 Hits Allowed+105
TB
@MIL
0.48u
10/24 12:00 AM
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 22-19-2 (+5.8u)
D.Rasmussen o5.5 Ks+105
TB
@MIL
1u
10/24 12:00 AM
Bet365
No umpire or roof information yet, but roof closed, park strikeout factors for AFF 5 percentage points higher than the Trop for batters from either side of the plate. With the roof open, it’s closer to 10 points for either side.
Ras Ks LHBs (28.3%) far more than RHBs (22.7%), despite LHBs having a higher wOBA (.252 – .229). Batters from both side = .271 xwOBA.
Projecting the 6 LHBs Milwaukee has been starting against most RHPs this postseason and Rasmussen potentially to get his normal workload (approx. 23 BF) as a stud pitcher in G1 of a 7 game series, first 23 in proj. MIL LU avg 22.8 K% v RHP with 15 LHBs/8 RHBs.
Ras gets at least a 9% park boost if roof is closed. Only the worst umpire situation would make me rethink this.
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 82-73-5 (-2.2u)
Under 3.5 (F5)-141
TB
@MIL
0.71u
10/24 12:00 AM
Bet to 3 (-125)