Latest MLB Betting Picks

Could be a sweat with this just because PHI are in their lesser splits against LHP with only a wRC+ of 87 but it’s hard to go against Sanchez at this point. Lean the under on this game too but rolling with this for now

There may be some value on Gavin Williams's pitching outs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 16.59 pitching outs, and oddsmakers are implying 18.06. The model believes there is a 54% chance he records fewer than 18 pitching outs. If you can get the under at +138 or better there is great value here. This play is good down to at least +102. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

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gulp

Bet to 9 (-110)

(FD) Hancock has just an 11.5 K-BB% on the road (27.5% at home). Four of his five highest K games are at home, the other in San Diego. Gibson is a talented arm who isn’t there yet, walking seven of 55 batters with five strikeouts and six barrels. If its’ Bassitt, even better against a predominantly LH LU. BAL 3 yr Park Run Factor 106. SEA 119 wRC+ v RHP, proj. LU 126 v RHP since LY, 133 wRC+ L30 days overall. O’s 113 wRC+ Hm/111 v RHP/proj. LU 106 v RHP since LY/117 L30 days overall. Proj. defenses combined -9 FRV. (Good to -140)