Premier League Odds, Picks, Prediction, Best Bets: Crystal Palace vs. Manchester City EPL Betting Preview (March 14)

Crystal Palace vs. Man City Odds

The Premier League's never-ending slate of games continues Monday with another important fixture, as Manchester City travels to Selhurst Park for a battle with Crystal Palace.

Liverpool has been able to apply as much pressure as possible to the Cityzens, so picking up every single point is vital in their campaign for another EPL title.

Crystal Palace was able to hand City one of its three losses of the season with the upset of the campaign thus far, earning a 2-0 win at Etihad Stadium.

So, will the Eagles be able to recreate the magic it found earlier in the campaign or will the Cityzens earn their revenge for the result?

Crystal Palace Enjoying Best Form of Season

Since the turn of the new year, Crystal Palace has lost just three games across all competitions, qualifying for the quarterfinals of the FA Cup and rising up to 11th in the league table.

In its last three EPL games, Palace has won two and drawn one, thanks to efficient scoring and a well-organized back line. The Eagles only generated 0.82 expected goals in a win over Watford, but quality finishing and a touch of luck allowed them to score four goals.

And of course, Palace enters this game knowing it has a game plan that can, at the very least, frustrate this prolific City side. Not only did the Eagles beat the Cityzens in a road shocker, they also limited their foes to 0.66 xG in the game, marking their lowest total of the season.

The result reflected the performances of the sides, and even if Palace was a bit lucky to come away with a win in that setting, it should have the confidence to come into this game with a sense of belief. That's something not all clubs have when they come up against this juggernaut.

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Man City in Another Remarkable Title Battle

Before this consistent duel between City and Liverpool began, having 69 points in 28 league games would almost always be enough to have a team in a comfortable position entering the final quarter of the season.

However, the last four years have shown that's far from the case. This new era of two teams being above the rest has resulted in Liverpool and City pushing each other to new heights year in and year out. Thus, City can't afford any slip in form here or it risks a level playing field with nine games to play.

Fortunately for City, it hasn't lost a Premier League game on the road since the first fixture of the year, and it has drawn just two games away from the Etihad since then. The Cityzens lead the league in xG away from home in addition to xGA conceded away from home.

In the back of their minds, City players will remember what happened, but there are far bigger stakes at hand than worrying about the reverse fixture.

BJ Cunningham's EPL Model Projections

Betting Analysis & Pick

Crystal Palace is an efficient side at home, but with the intensity that City is going to bring to another important fixture, aware of what can happen if it allows its form to drop for one instant, I'm not sure the Eagles will hold up.

Palace's 0.15 xG margin per game at home is solid, but City currently holds a 1.5 xG margin/match away from home and has won its last four contests on the road overall.

Man City did have a midweek Champions League game, but there shouldn't be much fatigue considering four subs were used and the intensity was a touch subdued with the fixture already decided prior to the second leg.

It's hard to fade City in league play, and as we near the end of the season, I anticipate that it'll become even harder.

Pick: Man City -1.5 (-105)

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