HOU @ ARI
7:40 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.37 | 13-8 | |
 |  | 2.82 | 17-6 |
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros 21-27 | -1.5-102 | o8.5-110 | -162 | |
Diamondbacks 22-26 | +1.5-124 | u8.5-109 | +139 | |
Chase FieldPhoenix
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Game Analysis
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Notes
Matchup Contrasts
Yuli Gurriel batted .319 last season -- second best in MLB -- 99th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .296 (94-for-318) against Merrill Kelly last season -- tied for 12th worst among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP -- 10th Percentile.
Christian Walker slugged .577 on breaking pitches in the 2020 season -- tied for 13th best in MLB -- 91st Percentile. Framber Valdez threw his curveball 34% of the time in the 2020 season -- second highest among qualified SPs -- 97th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Framber Valdez has thrown his curveball 57% of the time (295/519) with two-strikes since the start of last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total CB; League Avg: 18% -- 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Framber Valdez against right-handed batters since the 2020 season is 375.7 feet -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 401.2
Madison Bumgarner has thrown off-speed pitches 71% of the time (317/446) when he's behind in the count since the start of last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total NonFB; League Avg: 38% -- 100th Percentile.
Zach Davies has a first-pitch strike rate of just 53% (362/688) since the start of last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 0 Percentile.
Keys to the Game
The Diamondbacks are just 38-16 (.704) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Diamondbacks are just 57-19 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .870.
The Astros are 57-16 (.781) when totaling 10 or more hits since last season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
The Astros are 51-13 (.797) when hitting 2 or more home runs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Diamondbacks are 11-12 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Diamondbacks' 25 last games at home
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | 21-27 | 10-15 | 11-12 | 8-14 | 12-13 |
| Astros | 21-27 | 13-14 | 8-13 | 15-21 | 6-5 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | 21-24-3 | 13-12 | 8-12-3 | 11-11 | 10-12-3 |
| Astros | 19-26-3 | 11-14-2 | 8-12-1 | 13-20-3 | 6-5 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | 22-26 | 12-13 | 10-13 | 12-10 | 9-16 |
| Astros | 21-27 | 13-14 | 8-13 | 16-20 | 5-6 |
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates
Astros Injuries
Lance McCullers
PMcCullers is out with arm
Out
Jose Urquidy
PUrquidy is out with arm
Out
Luis Garcia
PGarcia is out with elbow
Out
Diamondbacks Injuries
Eduardo Rodriguez
PRodriguez is out with back
Out
Joc Pederson
DHPederson is day-to-day
Day-to-Day
Alek Thomas
OFThomas is out with hamstring
Out
Merrill Kelly
PKelly is out with shoulder
Out
Geraldo Perdomo
IFPerdomo is out with knee
Out
Brandon Hughes
PHughes is out with knee
Out
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Box Score
Astros Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LF.Valdez, P | 75 | 3 | 3 | 1 | |
| RR.Blanco, P | 26 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| RC.Javier, P | 53 | 3 | 5 | 0 | |
| RR.Montero, P | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| RH.Neris, P | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RR.Pressly, P | 15 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1J.Altuve, 2B | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2M. Brantley, DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3A.Bregman, 3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4K.Tucker, RF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5Y. Gurriel, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6A.Diaz, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6J.Siri, CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7C.McCormick, CF | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7C.McCormick, LF | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8J.Pena, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9M.Maldonado, C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9J. Castro, PH | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9J. Castro, C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RM.Kelly, P | 79 | 5.1 | 6 | 0 | |
| LK.Nelson, P | 9 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
| RS. Poppen, P | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| RI. Kennedy, P | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RM. Melancon, P | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| RN. Ramirez, P | 14 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
| LO. Pérez, P | 2 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1C. Hummel, DH | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2K.Marte, 2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3D. Peralta, LF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4C.Walker, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5C.Kelly, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5D.Varsho, PH | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5D.Varsho, CF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6P.Smith, RF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6J.Herrera, C | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6S. Alcántara, PR | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 7J.McCarthy, CF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7J.McCarthy, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8Y. Hernández, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8S. Beer, PH | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9G.Perdomo, SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Astros vs. Diamondbacks Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Astros 21-27 | N/A | N/A |
Diamondbacks 22-26 | N/A | N/A |