MIL @ BAL
11:05 pm • MASNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.38 | 0-0 | |
 |  | 2.94 | 12-8 |
Brewers vs. Orioles Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers 17-10 | -1.5-107 | o8-104 | -178 | |
Orioles 17-10 | +1.5-116 | u8-115 | +150 | |
Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
Brewers vs. Orioles Game Analysis
Brewers vs. Orioles Notes
Matchup Contrasts
Trey Mancini batted just .196 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- tied for 12th worst in MLB -- 10th Percentile. 99% of Corbin Burnes fastballs were 95+ MPH last season -- third highest among qualified SPs -- 94th Percentile.
61% of Willy Adames fastball strikeouts were elevated last season -- 15th highest in MLB -- 86th Percentile. John Means located his fastball up 53% of the time last season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP -- 90th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 41% (273/665) against Corbin Burnes since the start of last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has a strikeout rate of 59% (238 SO in 402 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.
John Means has thrown his changeup for a strike 73% (480/660) of the time since the start of last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 100th Percentile.
Keys to the Game
The Brewers are 52-34 (.605) on the road since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .462.
The Brewers are 68-8 (.895) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .784.
The Orioles are just 28-55 (.337) at home since last season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.
The Orioles are just 8-72 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Brewers vs. Orioles Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Orioles are 7-5 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Orioles' 15 last games at home
Brewers vs. Orioles Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Brewers vs. Orioles Injury Updates
Brewers Injuries
Christian Yelich
OFYelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
PWoodruff is out with shoulder
Out
DL Hall
PHall is out with knee
Out
Garrett Mitchell
OFMitchell is out with finger
Out
Orioles Injuries
Kyle Bradish
PBradish is out with elbow
Out
John Means
PMeans is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
PWells is out with elbow
Out
Brewers vs. Orioles Box Score
Brewers Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC.Burnes, P | 97 | 7 | 8 | 0 | |
| RD.Williams, P | 28 | 0.1 | 1 | 2 | |
| RB. Boxberger, P | 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
| LJ.Hader, P | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A.McCutchen, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2W.Adames, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3C.Yelich, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4H.Renfroe, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5K. Hiura, 2B | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 5K. Wong, 2B | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6T.Taylor, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7R.Tellez, 1B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 8M. Brosseau, 3B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8J. Peterson, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8J. Peterson, 3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9V.Caratini, C | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LJ.Means, P | 51 | 4 | 2 | 2 | |
| RJ. Krehbiel, P | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| RD.Tate, P | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| RF.Bautista, P | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RJ.Lopez, P | 29 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
| LP. Fry, P | 10 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1C.Mullins, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2R.Mountcastle, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3A.Santander, RF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4T. Mancini, DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 5R.Urias, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6R. Odor, 2B | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6K. Gutiérrez, PH | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7A.Hays, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8J.Mateo, SS | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9A. Bemboom, C | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9R.McKenna, PR | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9R. Chirinos, C | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Brewers vs. Orioles Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Brewers 17-10 | N/A | N/A |
Orioles 17-10 | N/A | N/A |