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Tuesday MLB NRFI Betting Pick: Corbin Burnes, John Means Set Up Well in Brewers-Orioles

Tuesday MLB NRFI Betting Pick: Corbin Burnes, John Means Set Up Well in Brewers-Orioles article feature image
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John Fisher/Getty Images. Pictured: Corbin Burnes

Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.


Brewers vs. Orioles No Runs First Inning (-125)

Matchup Orioles vs. Brewers
First Pitch 7:05 p.m. ET
Books Available Caesars

Today we look to attack a team who hasn’t had a YRFI to start the season, along with both pitchers who achieved a NRFI in their first starts.

Corbin Burnes is a NRFI machine. In 2021 he posted a phenomenal 25-6 NRFI record. In that span, he also holds a near-perfect 11-3 NRFI record on the road, paired with a 1.94 road ERA. When Burnes is facing the lineup the first time around, opponents are only hitting for a lousy .152 batting average.

When the game total is less than or equal to 8 and his team is favored, his NRFI record is an outstanding 21-3.

Now, the batter-pitcher matchup is in Burnes’s favor as well. Since he has not faced any Orioles batters in his career, the advantage of unfamiliarity sides with him.

Cedric Mullins, who is leading off for the Orioles, is slumping to start the season, only hitting a bleak .188.

Orioles starter John Means means also holds a phenomenal 2021 NRFI record coming in at 21-6. That resulted in a proficient .203 batting average when facing hitters the first time through the lineup.

When John means is the underdog in the matchup, his NRFI record improves to 17-2. Lastly, when the total is less than or equal to 8 and his team is the underdog, his NRFI record is a perfect 7-0.

The batter-pitcher matchup favors Means, but it’s not based on unfamiliarity like Burnes. Means has solid lifetime numbers against the Brewers hitters:

  • Willy Adames who is, 1-12 (.083)
  • Hunter Renfroe who is, 0-4 (.000)
  • Rowdy Tellez who is, 0-2 (.000)
  • Andrew McCutchen who is, 1-3 (.300)

Christian Yelich is off to a decent start batting .364. Thankfully Yelich holds a significantly poor split against lefties hitting just .187 last season.

Look for these two pitchers to continue their success, and take the NRFI in the Orioles/Brewers game.

As always, 6 outs to glory…

Get all of Shayne Trail’s NRFI/YRFI bets instantly in The Action Network app.

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