CLE @ KC
6:10 pm • BSKCStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 5.58 | 3-13 | |
 |  | 3.38 | 15-5 |
Guardians vs. Royals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Guardians 18-8 | -1.5+165 | o9-110 | +101 | |
Royals 17-10 | +1.5-193 | u9-109 | -118 | |
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Guardians vs. Royals Game Analysis
Guardians vs. Royals Notes
Matchup Contrasts
Salvador Perez had a miss rate of 23% on inside fastballs last season -- 14th worst in MLB -- 10th Percentile. Cal Quantrill located his fastball inside 45% of the time last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP -- 94th Percentile.
Franmil Reyes had a miss rate of 51% on changeups in the 2020 season -- third worst in MLB -- third Percentile. Kris Bubic threw his changeup 30% of the time in the 2020 seeason -- tied for 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 29 total CH -- 89th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Cal Quantrill has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.1 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2019 season (144 balls in play) -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 89.7
Cal Quantrill has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.6 MPH against his fastballs since the 2020 season (254 balls in play) -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: 90.4
57% of Zack Greinke's fastball strikeouts are located down since the start of 2019 -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.
Kris Bubic has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 52% (274/527) of the time since the start of 2020 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 62% -- 0 Percentile.
Keys to the Game
The Royals are just 101-109 (.481) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Royals are just 46-65 (.414) on the road since the 2020 season -- tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Guardians are just 19-43 (.306) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2020 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Guardians are 30-6 (.833) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2020 season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
Guardians vs. Royals Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Royals are 6-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Royals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Royals' 17 last games at home
Guardians vs. Royals Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Guardians vs. Royals Injury Updates
Guardians Injuries
Shane Bieber
PBieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Angel Martinez
IFMartinez is out with foot
Out
Gavin Williams
PWilliams is out with elbow
Out
Royals Injuries
Kyle Wright
PWright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Kris Bubic
PBubic is out with elbow
Out
Alec Marsh
PMarsh is out with arm
Out
Guardians vs. Royals Box Score
Guardians Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC.Quantrill, P | 76 | 5 | 2 | 2 | |
| RE.Morgan, P | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| LS.Hentges, P | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RA. Castro, P | 21 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M. Straw, CF | 1-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 1B. Bradley, 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2S.Kwan, LF | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 2S.Kwan, CF | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| 3J.Ramirez, 3B | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3Y. Chang, 3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4F. Reyes, DH | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5A.Rosario, SS | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5A.Gimenez, SS | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6O.Miller, 1B | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6O.Miller, 2B | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7E.Clement, 2B | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7E.Clement, LF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8Ó. Mercado, RF | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | 5 |
| 9B. Lavastida, C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Royals Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LK.Bubic, P | 29 | 0.2 | 0 | 5 | |
| RT.Clarke, P | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | |
| RJ.Kowar, P | 71 | 3.1 | 4 | 7 | |
| LG.Speier, P | 25 | 1.2 | 3 | 0 | |
| RB.Singer, P | 60 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1W.Merrifield, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1W.Merrifield, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2B.Witt, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3A.Benintendi, LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3K.Isbel, CF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4S.Perez, C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4C. Gallagher, C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5C.Santana, DH | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6H. Dozier, 1B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7A. Mondesi, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8M.Taylor, CF | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8R.O'Hearn, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9N.Lopez, 2B | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 9E.Olivares, LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Guardians vs. Royals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Guardians 18-8 | N/A | N/A |
Royals 17-10 | N/A | N/A |