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MIN @ SD

11:15 pm • FOX

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Joe Musgrove logoJ. MusgroveSan Diego Padres logo3.0310-7
Sonny Gray logoS. GrayMinnesota Twins logo3.088-5

Twins vs. Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins
76-80
+1.5
+1.5-195
o7.5+104
+118
Padres
86-70
u7.5
-1.5+160
u7.5-124
-137
location pinSaturday 11:15 p.m.
July 30, 2022
PETCO ParkSan Diego

Twins vs. Padres Notes

Keys to the Game

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Matchup Contrasts

34% of Jake Cronenworth strikeouts are looking this season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 50% of Sonny Gray strikeouts are looking this season -- second highest among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP-- 99th Percentile.
Byron Buxton has 10 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Joe Musgrove has thrown a breaking pitch 47% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Sonny Gray has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (95 balls in play) -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 80.3
Sonny Gray has a strike rate of just 52% (341/656) on sliders since the start of last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

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Twins vs. Padres Expert Picks

MIN
SD
MIN ML
1
SD ML
1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 30thMINW 10-1-1.5 WO 7.5SD -138
Jul 27th@DETL 3-4-1.5 LU 7DET -142
Jul 26th@DETW 6-4-1.5 WO 8SD -177
Jul 25th@DETL 4-12-1.5 LO 8.5DET -167
Jul 24th@NYML 5-8+1.5 LO 8NYM +114

Twins vs. Padres Public Betting

29%

Bets%

71%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
69-86-127-47-142-3942-64-127-22
Twins
71-8539-4232-4342-4629-39

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres
73-80-332-42-141-38-250-55-223-25-1
Twins
72-74-1034-43-438-31-635-48-537-26-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
86-7041-3445-3662-4524-25
Twins
76-8046-3530-4554-3422-46

Twins vs. Padres Injury Updates

Twins Injuries

  • Chris Archer

    P

    Archer is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Jorge Polanco

    IF

    Jorge Polanco (knee) placed on 10-day IL.

    Out

  • Byron Buxton

    OF

    Byron Buxton (hip) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Max Kepler

    OF

    Kepler is out with wrist

    Out

  • Miguel Sanó

    IF

    Miguel Sanó (knee) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Sonny Gray

    P

    Sonny Gray (hamstring) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Kenta Maeda

    P

    Maeda is out with elbow

    Out

  • Alex Kirilloff

    OF

    Kirilloff is day-to-day with wrist

    Day-to-Day

  • Chris Paddack

    P

    Chris Paddack (elbow) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Tyler Mahle

    P

    Tyler Mahle (shoulder) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Royce Lewis

    IF

    Royce Lewis (knee) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jorge Alcala

    P

    Alcala is out with elbow

    Out

  • Trevor Megill

    P

    Megill is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Trevor Larnach

    OF

    Trevor Larnach (abdominal) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jhon Romero

    P

    Romero is out with biceps

    Out

  • Cody Stashak

    P

    Stashak is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Randy Dobnak

    P

    Dobnak is out with finger

    Out

Padres Injuries

  • Pierce Johnson

    P

    Johnson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Drew Pomeranz

    P

    Pomeranz is out with elbow

    Out

  • Fernando Tatis Jr.

    IF

    Tatis Jr. is out for season with suspension

    Out for Season

  • Austin Adams

    P

    Adams is out with arm

    Out

Twins vs. Padres Box Score

Twins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RS. Gray, P
79551
RE. Pagán, P
20120
RT. Megill, P
70.100
RG. Jax, P
110.210
RJ. Duran, P
11120
RT. Duffey, P
28113
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1L. Arraez, 1B
1-5100
2C. Correa, SS
1-5112
3B. Buxton, DH
2-3211
3B. Buxton, CF
2-3211
4J. Polanco, 2B
0-2000
5A. Kirilloff, RF
0-3000
5M. Contreras, RF
0-0000
5K. Garlick, PH
0-1100
6J. Miranda, 3B
1-3201
7N. Gordon, LF
2-4001
8G. Sánchez, C
0-4000
9G. Celestino, CF
2-4001
9G. Celestino, RF
2-4001
Padres Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RJ. Musgrove, P
96682
RN. Crismatt, P
15120
LA. Morejon, P
240.114
RD. Lamet, P
150.211
RM. Baez, P
12100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Profar, LF
2-5113
2M. Machado, 3B
1-5111
3E. Hosmer, 1B
0-4000
4L. Voit, DH
1-4000
5N. Mazara, RF
1-4000
6A. Nola, C
0-3000
7T. Grisham, CF
1-4000
8H. Kim, SS
1-3100
9C. Abrams, 2B
1-3100

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Twins vs. Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Twins
76-80
o3.5-105
u3.5-125
Padres
86-70
o3.5-115
u3.5-115

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