NASCAR Talladega Matchup Odds & Picks: 2 Underdogs Worth Betting

Oct 13, 2019 12:50 PM EDT

Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. (19).

  • The 500 gets underway at 2 p.m. ET (NBC) from Talladega Superspeedway.
  • Nick Giffen picks out the best head-to-head driver matchups to bet ahead of the race.

Today’s race at Talladega is the first playoff race under the current aerodynamic package. That means there’s a lot of uncertainty as to how this race will play out.

Traditionally, the Talladega playoff race has been a more muted version of it’s spring counterpart. Since 2012, an average of 24.7 drivers finish within one lap of the lead in the spring. However, that number balloons to 30.1 for the fall Talladega race.

All of those races until this year came with restrictor plates and a different aerodynamic package. Now NASCAR uses a tapered spacer and a high drag aerodynamic package, which has so far created two races with plenty of action.

Either way, the action within the pack can be unpredictable, so we’ll take advantage of that unpredictability to bet a couple underdogs.

A quick explanation on the odds below: +125 means that a $100 bet would profit $125, while +140 means that a $100 bet would profit $140.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game

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