Andrew Cuomo Now Has Third-Best Election Odds As New York Continues to Fight Coronavirus Outbreak


BRYAN R. SMITH/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Andrew Cuomo

Mar 30, 2020, 07:29 PM EDT

Andrew Cuomo 2020 Election Odds

  • To Win Democratic Nomination: +1400 (6.2% implied probability)
  • To Win 2020 Presidential Election: +2200 (3.9% implied probability)

Odds as of Monday and via European sportsbook Betfair. If you’re new to betting, +1400 odds means a $100 bet would net a $1,400 profit. You can also covert odds using our Betting Odds Calculator. Note that the implied probabilities are vig-free.

Andrew Cuomo’s national profile has risen significantly as the governor continues to lead New York’s efforts against its COVID-19 outbreak — the largest of any state in the U.S. — and international betting markets have taken note.

Since European sportsbook Betfair first added Cuomo to its election markets last Wednesday (March 25), his odds have skyrocketed: Cuomo’s implied probability of winning the Democratic nomination has gone from 1.8% (+5000 odds) to 6.2% (+1400), while his implied probability of winning the general election has gone from 1.1% (+8000 odds) to 3.9% (+2200). Those are increases of 4.4% and 2.8%, respectively, in just six days.

Of course, it’s important to clarify that Cuomo has not entered the presidential race. In fact, he doubled down on his intentions on Monday, re-affirming that he’s not running for the White House.

Still, betting markets now position Cuomo with the second-best odds for the Democratic nomination, placing him ahead of even Bernie Sanders (+1600 odds; 5.4% implied probability). And Cuomo is third on the general election odds board, behind only Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

Here are the latest presidential election odds as of Monday and via Betfair:

  • Donald Trump: -110 (47.2% implied probability)
  • Joe Biden: +125 (40.4%)
  • Andrew Cuomo: +2200 (3.9%)
  • Bernie Sanders: +3300 (2.6%)
  • Mike Pence: +3300 (2.6%)
  • Hillary Clinton: +5000 (1.7%)
  • Nikki Haley: +10000 (0.8%)
  • Michelle Obama: +1000 (0.8%)

To stay up to date on how the election odds evolve over the coming days and weeks, be sure to check out our tracker.

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