ATP Daily Hitter: Best Monday Value at Indian Wells

ATP Daily Hitter: Best Monday Value at Indian Wells article feature image

Milos Raonic was too good last night, making quick work of phenom Felix Auger-Aliassime. It was a bit of a disappointing match from the 17-year-old, who didn’t serve well, and Raonic simply outclassed the young prospect from the baseline (cranking his forehand).

Third-round action is already underway on Monday from Indian Wells. One player I like, at a bigger price, is Roberto Bautista-Agut (-180) against Borna Coric. These two players have similar styles, but RBA has the more reliable strokes and, ultimately, the more dangerous weapons. If you follow me on Twitter, you might’ve caught my play from last night, which parlayed Jack Sock (-333) and RBA in a double at even money. But, if you missed it, you can pair RBA with another favorite (at a similar price) for the same payout.

OK, let’s get to today’s hitter, which won’t get underway until at least 11:30 p.m. ET

Monday’s Daily Hitter

Match: Tomas Berdych vs. Hyeon Chung
Where: BNP Paribas Open | Indian Wells
When: Not before 11:30 p.m. EST

If you’ve been following these hitters for a while, you’ll probably know my feelings on Hyeon Chung (pictured above). While I feel the young Korean is a bit overrated, this is actually a pretty good matchup for him.

Both players — Tomas Berdych and Hyeon Chung — both tend to hit deep, penetrating strokes from behind the baseline, but it’s Chung who will have the advantage in the moving department. For this reason, I like Chung to push Berdych and make Berdych play more balls than he’s used to — a tactic that has bothered him recently.

On the offensive side, Berdych hasn’t exactly pushed opponents around — and I can’t see him hurting Chung repeatedly. The Korean plays deep in the court and has a knack for always making his opponent play at least one extra ball. I think those extra balls will end up hurting Berdych today.

Another place where Chung can hurt Berdych is on the return side, specifically on Berdych’s second serves. Chung is an aggressive returner and Berdych’s serve numbers have taken a step back over the past few months. Unless he hits (and wins) a lot of first serves, the pressure Chung applies on the return side should eventually get to the player.

At plus money, I like Chung here.

DAILY HITTER: Chung +110

 

Stuckey Says

Carreno-Busta -122 (ATP)

Cuevas +313 (ATP)

Photo via Presse Sports-USA TODAY Sports