Perry’s Puerto Rico Open Betting Picks, Odds and Preview: Coco Beach Offers Longshot Value

Credit:

Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Viktor Hovland

  • The 2020 Puerto Rico Open at Coco Beach begins on Thursday at 6:10 a.m. ET, and Viktor Hovland is the current favorite at +1000.
  • Longshots, however, have been profitable bets in recent history at this event.
  • Check out Joshua Perry's betting picks for the tournament below, a card that includes plenty of those longshots.

While the stars are in Mexico in the limited-field WGC event, the rest of the PGA Tour will tee it up in the Puerto Rico Open.

This event fits better with my overall betting strategy for golf. I get to avoid favorites and focus in on a handful of longshots. Three of the last four winners here went off at over 100-1, with only Tony Finau breaking that recent trend in 2016.

The Course

Coco Beach plays at around 7,500 yards for a par 72. It’s long but players don’t need to bomb it off the tee to compete here. We’ve had Tony Finau and Martin Trainer come through, but shorter hitters like Scott Brown, Chesson Hadley and DA Points also have victories.

The course is wide open outside of a few lakes and there is very little rough to speak off, so basically just stay dry and you won’t find too much trouble here. If the wind picks up, it can play more difficult.


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The Favorites

Viktor Hovland is the current favorite at +1000. Hovland will try and follow the Collin Morikawa path and win one of these alternate-field events as a favorite to lock in his tour status for a couple of years. Long term, he’s very likely to be the best player in this field but he doesn’t have a top-20 finish in four starts this year — so I’ll pass on him.

Alex Noren is the second-favorite and the only other really well-known player here since Ian Poulter withdrew. The Swede is +1500 and has been making cuts lately, so he could be on his way to re-establishing his tour status with a win.

The only other name of real interest here is Scott Brown at +2200. He’s fresh off a second-place finish and has a win here, so he’ll likely be the most popular bet in this range.

Cameron Percy. Credit: Stan Badz/PGA TOUR via Getty Images.

The Mid-Tier

I’ll skip over most of this range. I just don’t like backing many of these players at +4000 or +5000 when I think we can find guys who have basically equivalent talent levels in the triple digits.

I’ll start with two solid tee-to-green guys in Cameron Percy and David Hearn at +8000. Hearn has five appearances here and has never finished outside the top 25, while Percy has finished inside the top 30 in four of his five starts on the island.

The Longshots

We’ll take a shotgun approach here a back quite a few guys in this range. If players like Beau Hossler are going to be at +3000, I’d just rather take a chance on a three or four guys in the triple digits at the same price. It doesn’t mean Hossler or other players in that range can’t win, but I’d rather spread out my money in this type of event.

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