The Valero Texas Open gets underway on Thursday, and while we dove deep into the course, players, stats, and more to improve your chances your chances of picking a winner, we know longshot futures aren’t for everyone. So let’s use our FantasyLabs metrics to find a few head-to-head prop bets that stand out the most:

  • Keith Mitchell vs. Grayson Murray
  • Ryan Moore vs. Kevin Chappell
  • Charley Hoffman vs. Matt Kuchar


All odds taken from 5Dimes as of 12 p.m. ET Wednesday. 

Keith Mitchell (-120) over Grayson Murray

Murray is a decent fit for this course with his Long-Term Driving Distance (LT DD) of 306.6 yards, but his ball-striking is lacking. He has hit just 62.7% of GIR in the past 75 weeks and 64.2% of GIR in his past four tournaments. Meanwhile, Mitchell is on fire right now: Sporting a field-best 317.3-yard LT DD while hitting 70.4% of GIR over his past four tournaments. Not only is Mitchell hitting GIR, but he has been able to capitalize on the scorecard with a 68.8 Recent Adjusted Round Score.

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