Wyndham Championship: Looking for a long shot
The Wyndham Championship is one of the best chances of the year to hit a winner from way down the board.
The last three champions, Si Woo Kim (125/1), Davis Love III (350/1) and Camilo Villegas (110/1), all went off in the triple digits.
The absence of the stars allows players further down in the rankings to come out on top. Couple that with this being the last chance to lock up a playoff spot and you get many of the lower tier guys bringing their ‘A’ game.
Two players I’m targeting in this range are Trey Mullinax (150/1) and JJ Spaun (150/1).
Mullinax was playing good golf about a month ago, but after taking part in nine straight tournaments, he appeared to wear down the past couple weeks. I think the week off during the PGA will do him some good and he could come back fresh and ready to contend.
Spaun battled an injury early the summer but has returned and looks to be at full strength. He played well at the Barracuda Championship two weeks ago and worked his way into contention before a poor final round dropped him down the leaderboard.
I’ll be making top 20 bets with both of these players at 7/1 as well.
I’ll have two other top 20 plays on Vaughn Taylor and Willy Wilcox at +750 and +950 respectively. I don’t think either will really have a shot on Sunday to win, but in this field, I like their chances to make a cut and play well on the weekend.
Taylor has three top 20s in the past 10 tournaments and owns a 15th place finish on this course. Wilcox has struggled with the putter this year, but has finished 24th and 26th in his two appearences here.
With how volatile this tournament is, I’m not focusing too much on matchups this week, but there are a couple plays I will be on.
The first is Billy Horschel -115 over Danny Lee. I mentioned in a previous piece that I like Horschel’s chances to win this week at 60/1. Meanwhile, Lee has missed the cut his last four appearances at the tournament.
The other is a first round 3-ball with Chez Reavie over Patton Kizzire and Ryan Armour at +125. I like Reavie’s chances to win as well and am looking for him to get off to a good start.
Full Card (Units played)
Bill Haas 25/1 (1.40)
Ryan Moore 30/1 (1.15)
James Hahn 45/1 (.80)
Byeong Hun An 50/1 (.75)
Chez Reavie 60/1 (.60)
Billy Horschel 60/1 (.60)
Robert Streb 65/1 (.55)
Russell Knox 75/1 (.50)
Hao Tong Li 80/1 (.50)
Trey Mullinax 150/1 (.25)
JJ Spaun 150/1 (.25)
Mullinax 7/1 (1)
Spaun 7/1 (1)
Vaughn Taylor +750 (1)
Willy Wilcox +950 (1)
Reavie over Patton Kizzire/Ryan Armour 1st round +125 (2)
Billy Horschel over Danny Lee full tournament -115 (2)
Joshua has spent the last five years writing about sports and the last 10 years betting them, mostly on golf. One of approximately five people who will watch the PGA over the NFL in November. Follow him on Twitter @JoshuaPerry22
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