AT&T Pebble Peach Pro-Am Round 3 Odds & Picks: A Superstar to Fade and Why to Back Viktor Hovland

Credit:

Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Viktor Hovland of Norway in Pebble Beach, California.

Feb 08, 2020, 08:04 AM EST

Even though the cut at this week’s AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am doesn’t take place until after Saturday’s third round, we’re already starting to see some separation between the haves and have-nots through 36 holes.

There’s one Hall of Famer and two future HOFers among the top-seven on the leaderboard, with Jason Day (+275) at 12-under — two behind leader Nick Taylor (+550) — while Phil Mickelson (+500) is one stroke further back and Dustin Johnson (+500) trails by two more.

Even though oddsmakers have enlisted Day as the live favorite, if I’m choosing solely amongst those three superstars, he’s probably last on my list — and for just one reason.

As I wrote about after the opening round, the scoring differential between the three courses hasn’t been nearly as dramatic as in previous years, but there remains a definitive advantage.

In the second round, Spyglass Hill regained its rightful spot in the hierarchy, playing to an average score of 72.667, while Pebble Beach decreased nearly a full stroke from the previous day, moving to 71.135, and Monterey Peninsula CC again played as the easiest, more than a full stroke easier than Thursday at 69.019.

Day, as those know who’ve been paying close attention, has played MPCC and Pebble so far this week, which leaves him with the toughest track in the rotation.

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