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CIN @ MIA

10:40 pm • BSFL

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Jesús Luzardo logoJ. LuzardoMiami Marlins logo3.533-7
Hunter Greene logoH. GreeneCincinnati Reds logo4.664-13

Reds vs. Marlins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
60-96
+1
+1-161
o7.5-100
-103
Marlins
64-91
u8
-1+135
u7.5-120
-120
location pinMonday 10:40 p.m.
August 01, 2022
Marlins ParkMiami

Reds vs. Marlins Notes

Keys to the Game

The Reds are just 8-48 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Marlins are just 22-26 (.458) at home this season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Reds are just 30-7 (.811) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

Matchup Contrasts

Jesus Sanchez is batting just .156 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- fourth worst in MLB-- second Percentile. 99% of Hunter Greene fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- 98th Percentile.
Avisail Garcia has a swing rate of 51% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- second highest among hitters with at least 151 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Hunter Greene has allowed a SLG of 1.000 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- worst among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- 0 Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Jesus Luzardo has walked 67 of 623 right-handed batters (11%) since the start of 2020 -- tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- fifth Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .703 (232 Total Bases / 330 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the start of 2020 -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .562 -- 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (52 Total Bases / 65 ABs) on inside fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .423 -- 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of .857 (30 Total Bases / 35 ABs) on low fastballs this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .430 -- 0 Percentile.

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Reds vs. Marlins Expert Picks

CIN
MIA
CIN ML
0
MIA ML
4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 31stNYML 3-9+1.5 LO 7NYM +117
Jul 30thNYML 0-4+1.5 LU 8NYM +166
Jul 29thNYML 4-6+1.5 LO 6NYM +104
Jul 28th@CINW 7-6+1.5 WO 9MIA +116
Jul 27th@CINL 3-5+1.5 LU 8.5CIN +127

Reds vs. Marlins Public Betting

39%

Bets%

61%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
73-8232-4641-3626-3847-43
Reds
72-83-132-4640-37-19-2763-56-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Marlins
69-79-737-37-432-42-327-35-242-43-5
Reds
73-77-636-38-437-39-216-18-257-59-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
64-9132-4632-4536-2828-62
Reds
60-9631-4729-4912-2448-72

Reds vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Reds Injuries

  • Mike Moustakas

    IF

    Moustakas is out with calf

    Out

  • Mike Minor

    P

    Mike Minor (shoulder) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Justin Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Joey Votto

    IF

    Votto is out for season with shoulder

    Out for Season

  • Nick Senzel

    OF

    Senzel is out with toe

    Out

  • Justin Dunn

    P

    Justin Dunn (no designation) placed on IL

    Out

  • Jeff Hoffman

    P

    Hoffman is out with arm

    Out

  • Lucas Sims

    P

    Sims is out with back

    Out

  • Vladimir Gutierrez

    P

    Vladimir Gutierrez (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Aramis Garcia

    C

    Garcia is out with finger

    Out

  • Robert Dugger

    P

    Robert Dugger (shoulder) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Art Warren

    P

    Warren is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tyler Stephenson

    C

    Stephenson is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Tejay Antone

    P

    Antone is out with elbow

    Out

Marlins Injuries

  • Avisaíl García

    OF

    Avisaíl García (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Joey Wendle

    IF

    Joey Wendle (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jorge Soler

    OF

    Jorge Soler (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.

    IF

    Jazz Chisholm Jr. (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Trevor Rogers

    P

    Trevor Rogers (back) has been placed on the 15-day IL

    Out

  • Daniel Castano

    P

    Daniel Castano placed on 7-day concussion IL

    Out

  • Jordan Holloway

    P

    Holloway is out with elbow

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Max Meyer

    P

    Max Meyer (elbow) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Anthony Bender

    P

    Bender is out with elbow

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Reds vs. Marlins Box Score

Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RH. Greene, P
84680
LR. Sanmartin, P
120.210
RI. Gibaut, P
171.110
RH. Strickland, P
24121
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. India, 2B
1-5001
2B. Drury, 3B
1-4000
3M. Reynolds, LF
0-3000
3J. Fraley, PH
1-1000
3J. Fraley, LF
1-1000
4J. Votto, 1B
1-2100
5K. Farmer, SS
0-4000
6D. Solano, DH
1-4100
7N. Senzel, CF
0-4000
8A. Almora Jr., RF
3-4102
9M. Papierski, C
0-4000
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LJ. Luzardo, P
81552
RD. Floro, P
14100
LS. Okert, P
18111
RA. Zabala, P
34210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Wendle, 2B
0-4000
2M. Rojas, SS
0-4000
3L. Díaz, 1B
1-4100
4A. García, DH
1-3000
5J. Bleday, CF
0-4000
6B. De La Cruz, RF
0-4000
7J. Sánchez, LF
0-1000
7J. Aguilar, PH
0-1000
7L. Williams, LF
0-0000
7N. Fortes, PH
1-1001
7B. Hamilton, PR
0-0000
8C. Leblanc, 3B
1-4000
9J. Stallings, C
1-3000

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Reds vs. Marlins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Reds
60-96
o3.5-105
u3.5-125
Marlins
64-91
o3.5-110
u3.5-120

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