West Ham United vs. Crystal Palace Wednesday Premier League Odds, Betting Picks & Predictions (Dec. 16)
Charlotte Wilson/Offside/Offside via Getty Images. Pictured: Jarrod Bowen
- Two teams who have proved people wrong to varying degrees this season, West Ham and Crystal Palace, will meet on Wednesday afternoon in a match that will tell us a lot about both clubs.
- David Moyes has West Ham within striking distance of a top-four spot for the first time in years and Jeremy Pond likes the value on the Hammers to get the job done against Crystal Palace:
West Ham vs. Crystal Palace Odds
|West Ham Odds||+110 [BET NOW]|
|Crystal Palace Odds||+270 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+235 [BET NOW]|
|Day/Time||3 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Peacock Premium|
Clubs with plenty at stake hit the pitch Wednesday when West Ham United hosts Crystal Palace in Premier League action at London Stadium.
The Hammers are in the midst of a dream start to their campaign, sitting with four other teams on 20 points in the league standings. West Ham holds the seventh spot on the table via the tiebreaker system.
Most recently, the Hammers cruised to a 2-1 win over Leeds United to keep their stellar run going after a disappointing 2019-2020 campaign that saw them finish barely above the relegation zone in 16th place.
On the other side, the Eagles are definitely looking to find more consistency. Crystal Palace is 2-1-2 in its last five games, coming off a solid 1-1 stalemate with front-running Tottenham Hotspur.
However, efforts like the one against Spurs are few and far between, which is why the Eagles are in 12th place heading into the holidays.
Let’s take a look at these clubs and see what might be on deck for this contest.
This really has been a dream run thus far for gaffer David Moyes and the Hammers, who have ripped off four wins in their last five outings.
West Ham has done it with a balanced approach, generating 1.67 goals per match and conceding 1.25 goals against thus far in league play. Perhaps the highlight for Moyes’ offense is the fact its leading scorer — Jarrod Bowen — has just four goals.
Getting output from various sources on the pitch has simply made the Hammers tougher to defend, with foes not able to key on one particular player. That simple fact is going to make this club dangerous throughout the season.
Prior to that loss to Manchester United, West Ham put up consecutive 1-0 shutout wins over bottom feeders Fulham and Sheffield United before fighting its way to a 2-1 over Aston Villa at London Stadium.
When it comes to statistical data, West Ham has put together some average overall numbers through 12 matches. The Hammers sit on a solid 17.4 expected goals for thus far, but have a disappointing 16.8 expected goals against, resulting a pretty flat +0.8 xGDiff and +0.07 for xGDiff/90 minutes.
Manager Roy Hodgson had to be pleased his side’s effort in that 1-1 draw against front-running Tottenham Hotspur on the weekend. Jeffrey Schlupp netted the equalizer for the Eagles, who had just come off a 5-1 thrashing of West Bromwich Albion.
Yet, as much as those results were southing to build upon, it’s impossible to not look directly behind them to see back-to-back shutout defeats to struggling sides Newcastle United and Burnley.
Bottom line, it’s impossible to gauge which Crystal Palace club is going to show up week in, week out when it steps on the pitch.
As for Crystal Palace’s advanced metrics, it would probably surprise you it doesn’t posses figures normally connected to a team sitting in 16th place on the table.
The Eagles have created a subpar 13.0 xGs and mediocre 15.8 expected goals against, generating a -2.8 xGDiff and -0.23 for xGDiff/90 minutes. Those stats perfectly tell the tale of a club enduring a topsy-turvy season thus far.
Betting Analysis & Picks
I really like West Ham in this spot, largely due to its stellar run of form outside of that Dec. 5 hiccup against Manchester United on home soil.
You have to believe the Hammers must be licking their chops entering this fixture, knowing a win could shockingly vault them into the top 4 of the table and really turn things upside down in England’s top flight.
With that being said, I am going to back West Ham to win this game outright and play it on the moneyline at what I believe is a fair price. I have the Hammers closer to -107 in my numbers, so I like the odds DraftKings is offering at the moment.
I will also back the total to go over the number as well. The total has surpassed 2.5 goals in five of West Ham’s last six matches against Crystal Palace across all competitions, which I thoroughly see continuing in this latest confrontation.
Picks: West Ham ML (+110) |Total Over 2.5 Goals (+100)