Is Kevin Chappell Worth a Longshot Bet at PGA Championship?

Is Kevin Chappell Worth a Longshot Bet at PGA Championship? article feature image

Dennis Schneidler-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kevin Chappell

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Kevin Chappell PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $9,300 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): MC, T-13, T-43, MC, T-33

Odds: +12,500 to win, +800 top-10 finish, +400 top-20 finish, -225 to make cut, +175 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +175 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Chappell (+100) over Keegan Bradley (-130)

Tee Times: 1:26 p.m. ET (Thursday); 8:01 a.m. ET (Friday)

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The Outlook

Chappell has had an injury-plagued season, which may explain a lot of his inconsistencies this year: He’s missed six cuts in his 10 tournaments since April. That said, he may be on the upswing after a sixth-place finish at the British Open.

I’m a bit skeptical this is the spot to fully buy back in, however. He’s struggled on par 4s, averaging +1.2 average adjusted strokes, and his 9.9 bogeys per tournament is one of the higher marks in the field over the past 75 weeks.

The Metrics

Here’s how Chappell ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-38th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-58th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 22nd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 18th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 25th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

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