Perry’s Guide to Betting Masters Longshots: The Sleeper I’m Eyeing

Apr 10, 2019 09:50 PM EDT
Credit:

Michael Madrid, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Si Woo Kim

  • The last player to win the Masters at north of 100-1 odds? Zach Johnson more than a decade ago in poor weather conditions.
  • Longshots don't usually contend at Augusta, but Joshua Perry is digging deep to find a sleeper.

If you’ve followed my articles in the past, you know I love digging around for longshots. I hit one last week after Round 1 of the Valero Texas Open, when I grabbed Corey Conners at 100-1.

But in golf, no two tournaments — and no two fields — are alike. An event like the Valero has been much more conducive to longshot winners than the Masters. Augusta National just doesn’t cooperate with the Cinderella stories — at least not recently.

The last player to tee off at longer than 100-1 on Thursday and win was Zach Johnson in 2007. There were very tough weather conditions that year and it was also the only time since 1956 when the Masters winner finished over-par. Basically, it played far more like a U.S. Open than what we normally see from Augusta.

Winners usually have good form leading into the event, which hurts the longshots’ chances as well. As guys start to play well, books will take notice and drop the numbers. So it’s pretty rare we see someone who is playing well enough to win a major like this slip through the cracks.

But with all that said, I’ve still found one boom-or-bust player who presents value at his current odds of 125-1.

My Favorite Longshot Bet

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