For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Alex Noren PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,600 DraftKings, $9,900 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): MC, N/A, N/A, T-49, T-67

Odds: +5500 to win, +400 top-10 finish, +200 top-20 finish, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +5500 to win

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 1:42 p.m. ET (Thursday); 8:17 a.m. ET (Friday)


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The Outlook

Noren was a bet for me in March at +7500, and that number has been cut about in half to around +4000. I don’t know if I’d be in at the new number. Noren has played fine this year. He picked up a win in France, but on this side of the Atlantic, he’s cooled since his run back before the Masters where he appeared poised for a PGA Tour breakthrough. I can’t imagine he’ll get a ton of buzz this week after a poor result at the Bridgestone, so he might be worth a fantasy flier, but I’m not expecting too much from my outright play.


The Metrics

Here’s how Noren ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-26th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-7th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 45th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-74th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 35th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Rob Schumacher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Alex Noren