Is Dustin Johnson Worth Betting at the PGA Championship?

Is Dustin Johnson Worth Betting at the PGA Championship? article feature image

Eric Bolte-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dustin Johnson

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Dustin Johnson PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $11,400 DraftKings, $12,600 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): T-8, N/A, T-7, MC, T-13

Odds: +800 to win, -110 top-10 finish, -200 top-20 finish, -1000 to make cut, +550 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -1000 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: Johnson (-165) over Rory McIlroy (+135) 

Tee Times: 1:53 p.m. ET (Thursday); 8:28 a.m. ET (Friday)

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The Outlook

Johnson will likely be highly owned in DFS, and rightfully so. He’s sporting the best Long-Term Adjusted Round Score (67.7), and over the past 75 weeks he ranks in the top three in the field in birdies per tournament, and par-4 and par-5 scoring. Given his anticipated high DFS ownership and his current inflated betting value, he’s probably worth fading. It’ll be scary, however.

The Metrics

Here’s how Johnson ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 1st
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-7th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 1st
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 2nd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 8th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

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