Sobel’s Sentry Tournament of Champions Matchup & Outright Bets: Will Rickie Fowler Thrive in Windy Conditions?
Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images. Pictured: Rickie Fowler.
We can usually count on the winning score at Kapalua being somewhere in the neighborhood of 20-under or better, but the combination of course renovations and windy conditions seem like that will be an impossibility halfway through the Sentry Tournament of Champions.
Defending champion Xander Schauffele leads at 9-under, with a star-studded group chasing him.
Let’s take a look at a few potential bets for Round 3 and beyond:
Live Outright to Watch
Rickie Fowler (+700)
Anytime the wind is blowing, Fowler is firmly on my radar due to his ability to play the ball low and produce creative ball flights with various clubs.
At only two strokes back, he’s hardly a longshot right now, but there’s still value in betting Fowler to win. He’s finished fourth twice (2019, 2018) and fifth (2016) in his three most recent starts at this event, so he obviously understands how to play this track.
If you’re looking to jump in with an Outright and don’t want to back Schauffele for a second straight title, Fowler could be the guy.
Round 3 Matchup
Chez Reavie (+100) over Kevin Kisner (-125)
Dating back a few months, Kisner’s game has looked fairly ordinary, which kept the public outcry around him failing to be named to the U.S. Presidents Cup team from being even louder. So far this week, he leads Reavie by one stroke, each of them outside the top half on the leaderboard.
While most of their stats are fairly similar, Reavie is picking up 3.38 more strokes against the field on approach shots than his third-round playing partner.
Kisner is a solid wind player, but in forecasted conditions, I want the player who’s been more accurate with his irons and that’s clearly Reavie.