For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Sergio Garcia PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,500 DraftKings, $9,600 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): T-61, T-35, T-54, MC, MC

Odds: +10,000 to win, +650 top-10 finish, +330 top-20 finish, -200 to make cut, +150 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +150 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 2:26 p.m. ET (Thursday); 9:01 a.m. ET (Friday)


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The Outlook

Just a year and a half ago, Sergio was getting fitted for his green jacket. Since then, he hasn’t been in the top 20 in any of the subsequent six majors, and he’s missed the cut in each of his past four, including last year’s PGA Championship.

His Long-Term Adjusted Round Score has really dipped as a result; he’s now below guys like Charley Hoffman and Matt Kuchar, for reference. His odds have adjusted accordingly — he’s 100-1 to win this week — but there’s nothing about his form that suggests he’s turned it around.


The Metrics

Here’s how Garcia ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-26th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-53rd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 36th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 32nd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 14th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Sergio Garcia

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