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CIN @ MIA

10:40 pm • BSFL

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Braxton Garrett logoB. GarrettMiami Marlins logo3.672-6
Graham Ashcraft logoG. AshcraftCincinnati Reds logo3.965-3

Reds vs. Marlins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
45-68
+1.5
+1.5-170
o7.5-100
+125
Marlins
50-65
u8
-1.5+145
u7.5-124
-149
location pinTuesday 10:40 p.m.
August 02, 2022
Marlins ParkMiami

Reds vs. Marlins Notes

Keys to the Game

The Reds are just 29-7 (.806) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Reds are just 31-7 (.816) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Marlins are just 22-27 (.449) at home this season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

Matchup Contrasts

Avisail Garcia has a groundball rate of 55% this season -- third highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% against Graham Ashcraft this season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- 95th Percentile.
Jesus Sanchez is batting just .229 on fastballs this season -- 10th worst among hitters with at least 151 total PA's-- seventh Percentile. Graham Ashcraft has thrown fastballs 69% of the time this season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Graham Ashcraft had a first-pitch strike rate of just 38% (11/29) -- 2nd lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 62% -- second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (21/34) against Graham Ashcraft -- 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% -- 97th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has a strike rate of 68% (577/844) this season -- 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 95th Percentile.

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Reds vs. Marlins Expert Picks

CIN
MIA
CIN ML
1
MIA ML
1
Over
1
Under
1
CIN Spread
0
MIA Spread
1

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

19 props
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RBI

19 props
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HR

19 props
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Singles

19 props
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Doubles

19 props
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Pitching Outs

2 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 1stCINL 1-3-1 LU 7.5CIN -120
Jul 31stNYML 3-9+1.5 LO 7NYM +117
Jul 30thNYML 0-4+1.5 LU 8NYM +166
Jul 29thNYML 4-6+1.5 LO 6NYM +104
Jul 28th@CINW 7-6+1.5 WO 9MIA +116

Reds vs. Marlins Public Betting

37%

Bets%

63%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
51-6420-3531-2919-3132-32
Reds
53-6026-3327-278-1845-42

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Marlins
50-60-526-26-324-34-223-2727-32-5
Reds
56-54-330-27-226-27-112-13-144-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Marlins
50-6523-3227-3330-2020-44
Reds
45-6825-3420-3410-1635-52

Reds vs. Marlins Injury Updates

Reds Injuries

  • Mike Moustakas

    IF

    Mike Moustakas (calf) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Justin Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Jeff Hoffman

    P

    Hoffman is out with arm

    Out

  • Lucas Sims

    P

    Sims is out with back

    Out

  • Vladimir Gutierrez

    P

    Vladimir Gutierrez (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Tony Santillan

    P

    Santillan is out with back

    Out

  • Aramis Garcia

    C

    Garcia is out with illness

    Out

  • Hunter Greene

    P

    Greene is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Robert Dugger

    P

    Robert Dugger (shoulder) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Art Warren

    P

    Warren is out with arm

    Out

  • Tyler Stephenson

    C

    Stephenson is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Jonathan India

    IF

    India is day-to-day with leg

    Day-to-Day

  • Tejay Antone

    P

    Antone is out with elbow

    Out

  • Connor Overton

    P

    Overton is out with back

    Out

  • Daniel Duarte

    P

    Duarte is out with elbow

    Out

Marlins Injuries

  • Avisaíl García

    OF

    Avisaíl García (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jorge Soler

    OF

    Jorge Soler (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.

    IF

    Jazz Chisholm Jr. (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Trevor Rogers

    P

    Trevor Rogers (back) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Garrett Cooper

    IF

    Cooper is day-to-day with calf

    Day-to-Day

  • Daniel Castano

    P

    Daniel Castano placed on 7-day concussion IL

    Out

  • Cole Sulser

    P

    Sulser is out with back

    Out

  • Jordan Holloway

    P

    Holloway is out with elbow

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Max Meyer

    P

    Max Meyer (elbow) placed on 15-day IL.

    Out

  • Anthony Bender

    P

    Bender is out with elbow

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Reds vs. Marlins Box Score

Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RG. Ashcraft, P
1078.130
RA. Díaz, P
60.210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. India, 2B
0-5000
2N. Senzel, CF
1-3100
3K. Farmer, SS
0-2100
4J. Votto, 1B
0-3000
5D. Solano, DH
0-4000
6A. Aquino, RF
1-4002
7M. Reynolds, 3B
0-3000
8A. Almora Jr., LF
0-4000
9M. Kolozsvary, C
1-3000
Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LB. Garrett, P
1045.2112
RH. Brazoban, P
251.110
RA. Bender, P
12120
LT. Scott, P
10110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Wendle, 2B
0-4000
2M. Rojas, SS
0-3001
3J. Aguilar, 1B
1-4000
3L. Williams, PR
0-0000
4L. Díaz, DH
0-4000
5A. García, RF
0-1000
5J. Bleday, CF
1-2000
5B. Hamilton, PR
0-0000
5B. Hamilton, CF
0-0000
5J. Stallings, PH
0-1000
6N. Fortes, C
1-3000
7J. Sánchez, LF
1-3000
8B. De La Cruz, CF
0-3000
8B. De La Cruz, RF
0-3000
9C. Leblanc, 3B
1-3100

Line Move Data

TimeCIN lineMIA line
08/02/2022, 10:40 PM +1.5 -170-1.5 +145
08/02/2022, 10:38 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +145
08/02/2022, 10:13 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +150
08/02/2022, 10:11 PM +1.5 -178-1.5 +150
08/02/2022, 10:10 PM +1.5 -180-1.5 +150
08/02/2022, 9:19 PM +1.5 -192-1.5 +150
08/02/2022, 9:16 PM +1.5 -192-1.5 +155
08/02/2022, 9:13 PM +1.5 -185-1.5 +150
08/02/2022, 8:31 PM +1.5 -185-1.5 +152
08/02/2022, 8:07 PM +1.5 -185-1.5 +150

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • 1st Inn
  • F5
SportsBook
CIN
MIA
Open
+102-120
Consensus
+125
-149
Best Line

Reds vs. Marlins Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Reds
45-68
o3-120
u3-110
Marlins
50-65
o3.5-120
u3.5-110

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