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CIN @ PIT

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Reds vs. Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
11-28
+1.5
+1.5-172
o8.5-106
+120
Pirates
16-23
u8
-1.5+148
u8.5-111
-139
location pinThursday 10:35 p.m.
May 12, 2022
PNC ParkPittsburgh

Reds vs. Pirates Game Analysis

Reds vs. Pirates Notes

Matchup Contrasts

Kyle Farmer has a miss rate of only 3% on inside fastballs this season -- tied for ninth best among hitters with at least 42 total PA's -- 96th Percentile. JT Brubaker has located his fastball inside 50% of the time this season -- tied for fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP -- 96th Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

Hitters have swung at 52% of JT Brubaker's pitches (467/899) with two-strikes since the start of 2020 -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- first Percentile.
Tyler Mahle has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 83.4 MPH on changeups since the start of last season (141 balls in play) -- tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 86.3
Luis Castillo has located his fastball up for a strike just 50% (373/743) of the time since the start of last season -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- third Percentile.

Best MLB Betting Sites

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Reds vs. Pirates Expert Picks

CIN
PIT
CIN ML
1
PIT ML
1
Over
1
Under
1

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

18 props
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RBI

18 props
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HR

17 props
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Singles

18 props
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Doubles

18 props
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Pitching Outs

1 prop
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 11thLADW 5-3+1.5 WU 8.5PIT +164
May 10thLADL 1-11+1.5 LO 8.5LAD +195
May 9thLADW 5-1+1.5 WU 7.5PIT +195
May 8th@CINL 3-7+1.5 LO 8CIN +119
May 7th@CINW 8-5-1.5 WO 8.5PIT -132

Reds vs. Pirates Public Betting

41%

Bets%

59%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
19-2011-108-103-516-15
Reds
17-226-811-141-516-17

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
14-20-57-11-37-9-25-2-19-18-4
Reds
23-15-111-312-12-14-219-13-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
16-239-127-114-412-19
Reds
11-285-96-191-510-23

Pirates vs. Reds Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

  • Roberto Pérez

    C

    Roberto Pérez (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jake Marisnick

    OF

    Jake Marisnick (thumb) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Greg Allen

    OF

    Allen is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Kevin Newman

    IF

    Newman is out with groin

    Out

  • Blake Cederlind

    P

    Cederlind is out with elbow

    Out

  • Nick Mears

    P

    Mears is out with elbow

    Out

Reds Injuries

  • Mike Minor

    P

    Minor is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Justin Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Nick Senzel

    OF

    Senzel is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Justin Dunn

    P

    Dunn is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Nick Lodolo

    P

    Lodolo is out with back

    Out

  • Max Schrock

    OF

    Schrock is out with calf

    Out

  • Donovan Solano

    IF

    Solano is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Lucas Sims

    P

    Sims is out with back

    Out

  • Jake Fraley

    OF

    Fraley is out with knee

    Out

  • Jose Barrero

    IF

    Barrero is out with hand

    Out

  • Jonathan India

    IF

    Jonathan India (hamstring) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Tejay Antone

    P

    Antone is out with elbow

    Out

  • Daniel Duarte

    P

    Duarte is out with elbow

    Out

Reds vs. Pirates Box Score

Reds Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RC. Overton, P
916.110
RL. Cessa, P
221.200
RA. Warren, P
11110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1T. Friedl, CF
0-5000
2B. Drury, 3B
0-5000
3T. Pham, LF
1-4100
4M. Moustakas, DH
1-4100
5T. Stephenson, C
3-4212
6C. Moran, 1B
1-4001
7T. Naquin, RF
2-4001
8K. Farmer, SS
0-3000
9M. Reynolds, 2B
1-3000
Pirates Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RJ. Brubaker, P
77532
LC. Alldred, P
16110
RH. Hembree, P
14110
RD. Underwood Jr., P
45242
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1B. Gamel, LF
2-4000
2K. Hayes, 3B
1-3000
3B. Reynolds, CF
0-3000
4D. Vogelbach, DH
0-4000
5Y. Tsutsugo, 1B
0-2000
6J. Suwinski, RF
0-2000
7J. VanMeter, 2B
0-3000
8M. Perez, C
1-3000
9R. Castro, SS
0-3000

Line Move Data

TimeCIN linePIT line
05/12/2022, 10:47 PM +1.5 -172-1.5 +148
05/12/2022, 10:43 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +146
05/12/2022, 10:42 PM +1.5 -172-1.5 +148
05/12/2022, 10:41 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +146
05/12/2022, 10:39 PM +1.5 -172-1.5 +148
05/12/2022, 10:38 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +146
05/12/2022, 10:37 PM +1.5 -172-1.5 +148
05/12/2022, 10:37 PM +1.5 -175-1.5 +146
05/12/2022, 10:35 PM +1.5 -172-1.5 +148
05/12/2022, 10:23 PM +1.5 -172-1.5 +152

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • F5
SportsBook
CIN
PIT
Consensus
+120
-139
Open
+110
-130
Best Line

Reds vs. Pirates Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Reds
11-28
o4-110
u4-120
Pirates
16-23
o4-120
u4-110