Saturday Premier League Betting Odds & Pick: West Brom vs. Arsenal (January 2)

West Brom vs. Arsenal Odds

West Brom

Arsenal

Why have the Gunners seemingly turned a corner the last two games? It's not that they are creating more chances in front of net, they are creating higher quality chances. Against Chelsea and Brighton, the Gunners created a total of 2.8 xG from non-penalty situations. Compare that to the two matches against Southampton and Everton, where they only created 1.23 xG total from non-penalty situations.

The biggest difference the last two matches for Arsenal is their 19-year-old sensation Bukayo Saka has been creating chances left and right. He scored the third goal against Chelsea, which has the potential to be goal of the year:

Defensively, Arsenal haven't been terrible, allowing 1.23 xG per match, but the Gunners will be without one of their central defenders in Gabriel and Thomas Partey, their best defensive midfielder. However, with how bad West Brom's offense has been this season, Arsenal could be on their way to a second clean sheet in a row.

Projections and Pick

With how bad West Brom has been on both ends of the pitch, it's hard to justify a bet on the Baggies. I think Arsenal should be able to keep their win streak going on the road, given how many more high quality chances they've created the last two matches.

I'll back the red hot Gunners spread of -1 at +108 (DraftKings).

Pick: Arsenal -1 (+108)