Tiger Woods a PGA Championship Contender, But Not a Good Bet at Inflated Odds

Aug 07, 2018 10:00 AM EDT

For betting odds and analysis of the top 80 golfers in the 2018 PGA Championship field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Tiger Woods PGA Championship Betting Odds

DFS Pricing: $9,900 DraftKings, $11,300 FanDuel

PGA Championship History (2013-2017): T-40, MC, MC, N/A, N/A

Odds: +2800 to win, +220 top-10 finish, +110 top-20 finish, -500 to make cut, +330 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: -500 to make cut

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 9:23 a.m. ET (Thursday); 2:48 p.m. ET (Friday)


>> Download The Action Network App to get real-time golf odds and track your PGA Championship bets.


The Outlook

One main takeaway from the Open Championship was that Tiger’s game is in a place where he’s a legitimate threat to win a major again. I just don’t see him as a play right now, though. He’s getting better odds than guys like Jason Day and Jon Rahm, who have both won this year. Tiger may play very well. He had a solid start at Bridgestone and was in the top six the two starts before that. So he’s trending in the right direction, but I think there are guys more likely to win with bigger numbers.


The Metrics

Here’s how Woods ranks in the PGA Championship field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 6th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 6th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 14th
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: 23rd
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 6th

Want more PGA Championship coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 80 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tiger Woods

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