3 NBA Props for Friday: Korver Over/Under 11.5 Points?

This article offers data-driven analysis on notable NBA player prop bets, often incorporating The Action Network’s public betting data along with the tools at FantasyLabs and Sports Insights.

Friday’s analysis will cover the following three props for Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals featuring the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers at 8:30 p.m. ET:

• Aron Baynes (Celtics) over/under 6.5 rebounds
• Kyle Korver (Cavaliers) over/under 11.5 points
• Jayson Tatum (Celtics) over/under 2.5 assists

Looking for more props? Check out the FantasyLabs NBA Player Props tool.

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Aron Baynes Over 6.5 Rebounds (-130)

8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

Baynes has gone over this prop in each of the past two games, and there’s good reason to believe he could make it three in a row Friday. The Cavs have leaned heavily on their big men of late, leaving two of Kevin Love, Tristan Thompson and Larry Nance Jr. on the court for the majority of the game. The Celtics responded by playing Baynes a series-high 29.5 minutes in Game 5, and he averaged 8.75 rebounds per 30 minutes during the regular season, so as long as the Cavs stay big in Game 6, Baynes should play enough to hit the over.

Kyle Korver Under 11.5 Points (-115)

8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

Jordan Clarkson reemerged in the Cavs rotation in game 5, which had a negative effect on Korver’s playing time. He saw just 18.5 minutes in that game and is projected for only 22 in the FantasyLabs NBA Models, so he’ll need a hot shooting night to go over this mark.

Jayson Tatum Under 2.5 Assists (-115)

8:30 p.m. ET | ESPN

These small-number props are always a bit scary for under bettors, but Tatum has not displayed much playmaking ability as a rookie, handing out an average of just 1.9 assists per 36 minutes during the regular season. He's been better in the playoffs overall (2.9 per 36) and did hand out four assists in Game 5, but he also had two or fewer in each of the previous three games. Also, the Celtics' implied team total of 97.75 points suggests they're expected to have trouble scoring.

All lines accurate as of 2:30 p.m. ET on Friday, May 25.