NBA Tuesday Betting Picks & Angles (Dec. 10): It’s All About Shots in Nuggets-Sixers, Wizards-Hornets


Photo credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jamal Murray

Dec 10, 2019, 03:55 PM EST

Two angles for Tuesday based on matchups and trends…


The Nuggets offense is broken.

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure that out. They’re 21st in offensive efficiency, and that includes the eighth-best mark in losses (among all teams in their losses). They are 23rd in halfcourt offense but also bottom-five in pace. The Nuggets do the only thing they do well offensively (transition) literally the least of anything they do.

Catch-and-shoot? 24th.

At the rim? Middle of the pack.

They’re 22nd in 3-point attempts per 100 possessions and 19th in 3-point efficiency.

They’re 25th overall in effective field goal percentage.

What’s more, they’re not just missing good looks. Expected effective field goal percentage is based on what the expected eFG% would be for an average shooter from where a team shoots. Via Cleaning The Glass, the Nuggets are fourth-worst in expected eFG%. They’re actually shooting better than their expected eFG%, via