NBA Tuesday Betting Picks & Angles (Dec. 10): It’s All About Shots in Nuggets-Sixers, Wizards-Hornets
Photo credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jamal Murray
Two angles for Tuesday based on matchups and trends…
THE ANGLE: THE NUGGETS MISS BAD SHOTS
The Nuggets offense is broken.
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure that out. They’re 21st in offensive efficiency, and that includes the eighth-best mark in losses (among all teams in their losses). They are 23rd in halfcourt offense but also bottom-five in pace. The Nuggets do the only thing they do well offensively (transition) literally the least of anything they do.
At the rim? Middle of the pack.
They’re 22nd in 3-point attempts per 100 possessions and 19th in 3-point efficiency.
They’re 25th overall in effective field goal percentage.
What’s more, they’re not just missing good looks. Expected effective field goal percentage is based on what the expected eFG% would be for an average shooter from where a team shoots. Via Cleaning The Glass, the Nuggets are fourth-worst in expected eFG%. They’re actually shooting better than their expected eFG%, via PBPStats.com.