NBA Odds & Pick for Raptors vs. Celtics: Sharps Betting the Under as Toronto Finishes Back-to-Back
Credit: Abbie Parr/Getty Images. Pictured: Pascal Siakam
NBA Odds: Raptors vs. Celtics
|Time | Channel||7:30 p.m. ET | NBCS-BOS|
The Raptors come into Thursday night’s Atlantic division matchup as slight road dogs vs. the Celtics. Toronto has caught fire as of late, winning four of its last five games with the top-ranked offense in the NBA over that stretch (126.4 PPG).
The Celtics will be excited for some home cooking after five straight road games.
Boston’s defense has been bad as of late, but Brad Stevens and Co. have been slowing down the pace of games (Boston 29th in PACE over the last five games per NBA.com/stats) to keep the Celtics in close contests.
Although the Raptors are 10-4 to the over on the road, our PRO Report suggests this is a perfect game to grab value on the under.
Note: Odds, data as of Thursday afternoon.
NBA Sharp Betting Pick: Raptors vs. Celtics
The total for this Atlantic Division clash opened at 222.5, and despite 74% of the action coming in on the over, this line moved down to 220.5. That reverse line movement just about confirms the sharp action on this contest, along with the multiple bet signals indicating pro action on Boston since this morning.
Another sign highlighting the sharp action on this game is the very strong monetary support of the under. The 25% of the bettors taking the under have produced 52% of the money, which, while not a heavy majority, means the under is drawing much bigger bets.
This matchup fits neatly into our Reverse Line Movement Unders PRO System, which has a win rate of 58% and a 13% ROI since 2015.
PRO Report Pick: Under 220.5 (-105)