Saturday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting DeAndre Ayton Rebounds, More
Photo credit: Jennifer Stewart-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Deandre Ayton
- Saturday's seven-game slate features three NBA player props offering value.
- We'll focus on Timberwolves SG Andrew Wiggins, Mavericks PG Jalen Brunson and Suns C Deandre Ayton.
Saturday’s best NBA player props focus on three of the slate’s seven games:
- Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies: 8 p.m. ET
- Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Phoenix Suns at Sacramento Kings: 10 p.m. ET
As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 5:30 p.m. ET. View live odds here.
Timberwolves SG Andrew Wiggins
THE PICK: Over 17.5 points (-114)
Wiggins has a tough matchup against the Grizzlies, but there are still reasons for optimism for his scoring prospects.
Jeff Teague and Derrick Rose are out of the lineup, and Wiggins has seen a team-high usage bump of +3.7% with both players off the court since trading away Jimmy Butler. Wiggins has been particularly effective in 13 full games without both players, averaging 37.6 minutes and 20.4 points per game.
Wiggins has also scored 20 points in back-to-back contests, and the Grizzlies have allowed at least 123 points in each of their past four games.
This matchup might not be as difficult as it appears given the Grizzlies’ recent defensive struggles, and this line is low given the Timberwolves’ injury situation. I like the over up to -125.
Mavericks PG Jalen Brunson
THE PICK: Under 15.5 points (-112)
Brunson has had some moments for the Mavericks this season, but his role in the rotation has waned recently.
He’s played 27.7 or fewer minutes in three of his past four games, and he’s projected for a similar workload against the Warriors. Brunson has averaged 15.2 points per 36 minutes this season, so this line seems high given his current workload.
The total on this game has also dropped like a rock with the news that Steph Curry will get the night off, and the Mavericks’ implied team total of 103.0 points is the second-lowest mark on the slate.
Brunson has still managed to score at least 16 points in two of his past four games, but he’s shot 60% from the field in those contests. This prop is definitely inflated, and I’d play the under up to -140.
Suns C Deandre Ayton
THE PICK: Over 9.5 rebounds (-140)
Ayton is coming off just eight rebounds in his last game, which is creating some value with the over in Saturday night’s contest against the Kings.
Ayton was limited to just 25.2 minutes in his last game due to foul trouble and it turning into a blowout, but he should return to his normal workload against Sacramento. He’s averaged 10.3 rebounds in 30.9 minutes per game this season, and he’s currently projected for 33 minutes in our NBA Models.
The Kings also represent an excellent matchup for rebounding. They’ve played at the second fastest pace this season and rank just 25th in team rebound rate.
Ayton is a talented rebounder — he ranks 16th in total rebound percentage this season — so this is a great spot to buy low on him. I like the over up to -170.