NBA Sharp Report: Pros Hitting Rockets-Lakers, 2 Other Saturday Games
Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: James Harden and Carmelo Anthony
- Sharp bettors have made a play on Saturday night's Lakers-Rockets matchup along with two other NBA games
- Betting percentages and Sports Insights' bet signals reveal which way the smart money is going.
Sharp bettors split their Friday night plays on the Jazz-Warriors matchup, as the game went well over, but Utah pulled off the cover.
For Saturday, they’ve targeted three NBA games, including the late-night showdown between the Rockets and Lakers.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
>> All odds as of 3:45 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NBA odds and track your bets.
Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers
7 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 211 to 214)
In general, fading the public is good starting point when trying to identify sharp bets. There are cases, however, where sharps and public bettors are in agreement, and the Nets-Pacers total is a perfect example of that.
The over has received 68% of bets, but those bets are accounting for 97% of dollars wagered thus far, meaning bigger bets — more likely to be the ones form sharps — are on the over.
There have also been two Sports Insights bet signals — indications of sharp action — on the over, and the total has risen three points from its opening number as a result.
Charlotte Hornets @ Miami Heat
8 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Charlotte (moved from +5 to +3.5)
The betting percentages tell the story in this game. The Hornets have generated just 44% of spread bets, but they’ve fallen from +5 to +3.5.
The reason? Sharp bettors — revealed by the 67% of money behind Charlotte — have forced oddsmakers to readjust this line, giving more points to the more popular side.
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
10:30 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 235 to 234.5)
This game features the highest total on Saturday’s slate, and two-thirds of bets have taken the over.
Despite that, the total has fallen a half-point thanks to sharp action on the under.
Two bet signals have been triggered on the under, although both came at totals higher than the current number — one at 236.5 and another at 235.5.