NBA Sharp Betting Picks (Jan. 10): Hornets vs. Jazz, Spurs vs. Grizzlies, Among Pros’ Favorite Friday Plays
Issac Baldizon/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Donavan Mitchell
As we braces ourselves for one of the best sports betting weekends of the year, sharps aren’t letting a 10-game Friday night NBA slate pass by unnoticed.
They might not seem as exciting as what’s in store tomorrow, but three games on tonight’s board have seen some significant line movement as a result of the action they’ve attracted from pro bettors.
Odds as of Friday at 1:30 p.m. ET. Check out PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150). No strings attached. No rollover required.
Hawks vs. Wizards
7 p.m. ET
In Wednesday night’s version of this post, I pointed out how we’ve often seen the lowest NBA totals being deemed not low enough by sharp bettors this season.
Tonight’s Hawks-Wizards total is showing us that trend can also hold true on the other side of the spectrum.
After opening as the highest on the 10-game slate (anywhere from 235.5 to 237.5), this number has been not high enough by sharps, who’ve convinced oddsmakers to push the number up to 239.
Overall, bettors have been split down the middle on this total. The half on the over, though, has generated 82% of actual money — which is important given that sharps are more likely the ones making bigger bets.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals, which track and record instances of market activity caused by professional action, have confirmed sharps to be on the over, triggering two moves on the over as a result of smart money.
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 237.5 to 239)
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
8 p.m. ET
The Spurs opened as 1-point favorites in the game, but the minus-sign has since flipped sides.
Memphis is attracting just 37% of bettors, but apparently they’ve been of the sharper variety. They’ve accounted for 56% of actual money hitting this spread, and triggered three SI Bet Signals.
As a result, the Grizzlies are now the expected winners of this No. 8 vs. No. 9 matchup in the West.
Sharp angle: Grizzlies (moved from +1 to -1)
Hornets vs. Jazz
9 p.m. ET
At 212.5, this was tied for the lowest opening total on the slate. Guess which direction sharps sent the total …
Three Bet Signals (most recently at 210) have hit the under, dropping this number by more than three points in at most books. And just as was the case with the total on the high end of the spectrum, the low number has bettors split, with even a slight 53% edge to the over in this case.
The 47% backing of the under, though, has brought 83% of the loot, further helping explain the line move.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 212.5 to 209)