NBA Sharp Report: Bulls-Knicks, Cavs-Suns Drawing Monday’s Smart Money
Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Devin Booker
- Sharp action has hit some of Monday's least intriguing NBA matchups: Knicks-Bulls (7:30 p.m. ET) and Cavs-Suns (10 p.m. ET).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals and betting market percentages help reveal the two plays wiseguys are making.
Fans of horrible basketball (if they exist) are in for a treat tonight, as the four worst teams in the NBA are matched up against one another.
But while Bulls-Knicks and Cavs-Suns aren’t the most intriguing games, they might have some value to offer bettors, at least for the sharps.
Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks
7:30 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Knicks (moved from -2 to -3.5)
A battle between the 13th- and 15th-place teams in the East isn’t exactly what rakes in the dough at ticket window — at least not from most casual bettors. Sharps, though, have been all over this game since it opened, and have caused a pretty significant line move.
After it opened at New York -2, this line almost immediately shifted up to -3, where it remained until Monday morning. But even since then, sharps have continued to find value on the Knicks.
The Knicks are the more popular bet tonight, drawing 62% of bets. While that’s not normally a sign of the sharp side, it’s far less meaningful in a game attracting such a small number of bets.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals triggered two steam moves on New York since this morning, and no conflicting signals on Chicago.
On top of that, the 62% backing of the Knicks has generated 95% of actual money being wagered. That means bigger bettors — the ones more likely to be sharps — are laying the points.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Phoenix Suns
10 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 221.5 to 225)
How about an even worse matchup for the second game on tonight’s sharp card?
As you probably could’ve guessed, this game isn’t seeing a whole lot of bets either, so the 64% backing of the over means little compared to what it would in a heavily bet game.
It does, however, make the 3.5-point line move more significant, because sportsbooks shouldn’t have as much reason to move the line with such low liability unless sharps are involved.
Once again, the 64% of bets on the over have accounted for 88% of actual money being bet on the total, and Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have triggered two moves on the over. They’ve come at totals of 221.5 and 224.5, resulting in the current number.