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MIA @ SD

8:10 pm • BSSD

Starting Pitchers

pitcherteameraw-l
Joe Musgrove logoJ. MusgroveSan Diego Padres logo2.258-2
Trevor Rogers logoT. RogersMiami Marlins logo5.564-6

Marlins vs. Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins
35-40
+1.5
+1.5-166
o7+102
+135
Padres
46-33
u6.5
-1.5+133
u7-121
-159
location pinSunday 8:10 p.m.
May 08, 2022
PETCO ParkSan Diego

Marlins vs. Padres Notes

Keys to the Game

The Padres are 59-17 (.776) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .740.

Matchup Contrasts

Jake Cronenworth has a miss rate of only 3% on changeups this season -- best in MLB -- 100th Percentile. Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 29% of the time this season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 11 total CH -- 91st Percentile.
Jorge Soler batted just .223 last season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB -- sixth Percentile. Right handed batters hit just .194 (63-for-325) against Joe Musgrove last season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP -- 91st Percentile.

Today's Starting Pitchers

109 of Trevor Rogers' 175 strikeouts (62%) have come on fastballs since the start of last season -- 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 41% -- 94th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .132 (53 PA's) in late innings since the start of 2020 -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .293 -- 100th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .334 (192 Total Bases / 574 ABs) since the start of last season -- 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .409 -- 90th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has a strike rate of 71% (82/115) in two strike counts this season -- 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 89th Percentile.

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Marlins vs. Padres Expert Picks

MIA
SD
MIA ML
1
SD ML
0

Popular Props

Ks

2 props
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Hits

14 props
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RBI

14 props
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HR

14 props
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Singles

14 props
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Doubles

14 props
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Pitching Outs

2 props
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Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 8thMIAL 0-8+1.5 LO 6.5MIA -120
May 7thMIAW 3-2-1.5 LU 6.5SD -133
May 6thMIAW 2-1+1.5 WU 7.5SD +100
May 4th@CLEL 5-6-1.5 LO 7CLE -145
May 4th@CLEW 5-4-1.5 LO 7SD -133

Marlins vs. Padres Public Betting

15%

Bets%

85%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
40-3914-2326-1622-2918-10
Marlins
38-3718-1720-2015-1723-19

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres
34-43-213-23-121-20-122-28-112-15-1
Marlins
38-36-121-1417-22-117-1521-20-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
46-3321-1625-1730-2116-12
Marlins
35-4019-1616-2421-1114-28

Marlins vs. Padres Injury Updates

Marlins Injuries

  • Jorge Soler

    OF

    Jorge Soler (back) to be placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Jazz Chisholm Jr.

    IF

    Jazz Chisholm Jr. (back) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Cody Poteet

    P

    Cody Poteet (elbow) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Sixto Sánchez

    P

    Sanchez is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Jesús Luzardo

    P

    Jesús Luzardo (forearm) placed on 15-day IL

    Out

  • Paul Campbell

    P

    Campbell is out with elbow

    Out

  • Anthony Bender

    P

    Bender is out with back

    Out

  • Sean Guenther

    P

    Guenther is out with arm

    Out

Padres Injuries

  • Pierce Johnson

    P

    Johnson is out with elbow

    Out

  • Wil Myers

    OF

    Wil Myers (knee) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Drew Pomeranz

    P

    Pomeranz is out with elbow

    Out

  • Fernando Tatis Jr.

    IF

    Tatis Jr. is out with wrist

    Out

  • Austin Adams

    P

    Adams is out with arm

    Out

  • Adrian Morejon

    P

    Morejon is out with covid protocols

    Out

  • Matt Beaty

    OF

    Matt Beaty (shoulder) placed on 10-day IL

    Out

  • Steven Wilson

    P

    Wilson is out with hamstring

    Out

Marlins vs. Padres Box Score

Marlins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
LT. Rogers, P
93530
RA. Bender, P
19120
RA. Bass, P
191.220
LS. Okert, P
50.110
RC. Sulser, P
190.213
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Chisholm Jr., 2B
1-4111
2J. Aguilar, 1B
2-4100
3J. Soler, LF
0-4000
4J. Wendle, 3B
1-4000
5G. Cooper, DH
0-2001
6B. De La Cruz, RF
0-4000
7J. Sánchez, CF
0-4000
8M. Rojas, SS
1-3000
9P. Henry, C
0-2000
Padres Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
RJ. Musgrove, P
108782
RR. Suarez, P
21210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
1J. Cronenworth, 2B
1-3000
2H. Kim, SS
0-3000
3M. Machado, 3B
2-4000
4E. Hosmer, 1B
1-4000
5A. Nola, C
1-4000
6J. Profar, DH
1-4000
7T. Grisham, CF
0-4100
8T. Thompson, RF
0-2000
8C. Abrams, PH
1-2100
8C. Abrams, RF
1-2100
9J. Azocar, LF
0-3000
9J. Alfaro, PH
1-1113

Line Move Data

TimeMIA lineSD line
05/09/2022, 2:05 PM +1.5 -166-1.5 +133
05/08/2022, 7:59 PM +1.5 -163-1.5 +135
05/08/2022, 7:46 PM +1.5 -163-1.5 +136
05/08/2022, 7:19 PM +1.5 -162-1.5 +136
05/08/2022, 7:07 PM +1.5 -162-1.5 +137
05/08/2022, 6:30 PM +1.5 -165-1.5 +140
05/08/2022, 6:21 PM +1.5 -165-1.5 +137
05/08/2022, 5:59 PM +1.5 -167-1.5 +140
05/08/2022, 5:52 PM +1.5 -170-1.5 +140
05/08/2022, 5:05 PM +1.5 -166-1.5 +140

Compare Odds

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  • Game
  • 1st Inn
  • F5
SportsBook
MIA
SD
Open
+145-165
Consensus
+135
-159
Best Line

Marlins vs. Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Marlins
35-40
o3-110
u3-120
Padres
46-33
o3.5-110
u3.5-120

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