MIA @ SD
8:10 pm • BSSDStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 2.25 | 8-2 | |
![]() | ![]() | 5.56 | 4-6 |
Marlins vs. Padres Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Marlins 35-40 | +1.5 | +1.5-166 | o7+102 | +135 |
![]() Padres 46-33 | u6.5 | -1.5+133 | u7-121 | -159 |

PETCO ParkSan Diego
Marlins vs. Padres Notes
Keys to the Game
The Padres are 59-17 (.776) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2020 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Matchup Contrasts
Jake Cronenworth has a miss rate of only 3% on changeups this season -- best in MLB -- 100th Percentile. Trevor Rogers has thrown his changeup 29% of the time this season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 11 total CH -- 91st Percentile.
Jorge Soler batted just .223 last season -- tied for eighth worst in MLB -- sixth Percentile. Right handed batters hit just .194 (63-for-325) against Joe Musgrove last season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP -- 91st Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
109 of Trevor Rogers' 175 strikeouts (62%) have come on fastballs since the start of last season -- 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 41% -- 94th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of just .132 (53 PA's) in late innings since the start of 2020 -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .293 -- 100th Percentile.
Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .334 (192 Total Bases / 574 ABs) since the start of last season -- 15th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: .409 -- 90th Percentile.
Joe Musgrove has a strike rate of 71% (82/115) in two strike counts this season -- 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 89th Percentile.
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Marlins vs. Padres Expert Picks
Popular Props
Ks
2 propsHits
14 propsRBI
14 propsHR
14 propsSingles
14 propsDoubles
14 propsPitching Outs
2 propsLast 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Padres are 26-16 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Padres' 37 last games at home
Marlins vs. Padres Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Marlins vs. Padres Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
Jorge Soler
OFJorge Soler (back) to be placed on 10-day IL
Out
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
IFJazz Chisholm Jr. (back) placed on 10-day IL
Out
Cody Poteet
PCody Poteet (elbow) placed on 15-day IL
Out
Sixto Sánchez
PSanchez is out with shoulder
Out
Jesús Luzardo
PJesús Luzardo (forearm) placed on 15-day IL
Out
Paul Campbell
PCampbell is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Bender
PBender is out with back
Out
Sean Guenther
PGuenther is out with arm
Out
Padres Injuries
Pierce Johnson
PJohnson is out with elbow
Out
Wil Myers
OFWil Myers (knee) placed on 10-day IL
Out
Drew Pomeranz
PPomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Fernando Tatis Jr.
IFTatis Jr. is out with wrist
Out
Austin Adams
PAdams is out with arm
Out
Adrian Morejon
PMorejon is out with covid protocols
Out
Matt Beaty
OFMatt Beaty (shoulder) placed on 10-day IL
Out
Steven Wilson
PWilson is out with hamstring
Out
Marlins vs. Padres Box Score
Marlins Player Stats
PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LT. Rogers, P | 93 | 5 | 3 | 0 | |
RA. Bender, P | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RA. Bass, P | 19 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | |
LS. Okert, P | 5 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RC. Sulser, P | 19 | 0.2 | 1 | 3 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J. Chisholm Jr., 2B | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2J. Aguilar, 1B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3J. Soler, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J. Wendle, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5G. Cooper, DH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
6B. De La Cruz, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7J. Sánchez, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8M. Rojas, SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9P. Henry, C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Padres Player Stats
PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ. Musgrove, P | 108 | 7 | 8 | 2 | |
RR. Suarez, P | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J. Cronenworth, 2B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2H. Kim, SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3M. Machado, 3B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4E. Hosmer, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5A. Nola, C | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J. Profar, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7T. Grisham, CF | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8T. Thompson, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8C. Abrams, PH | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8C. Abrams, RF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9J. Azocar, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J. Alfaro, PH | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Line Move Data
Time | MIA line | SD line |
---|---|---|
05/09/2022, 2:05 PM | +1.5 -166 | -1.5 +133 |
05/08/2022, 7:59 PM | +1.5 -163 | -1.5 +135 |
05/08/2022, 7:46 PM | +1.5 -163 | -1.5 +136 |
05/08/2022, 7:19 PM | +1.5 -162 | -1.5 +136 |
05/08/2022, 7:07 PM | +1.5 -162 | -1.5 +137 |
05/08/2022, 6:30 PM | +1.5 -165 | -1.5 +140 |
05/08/2022, 6:21 PM | +1.5 -165 | -1.5 +137 |
05/08/2022, 5:59 PM | +1.5 -167 | -1.5 +140 |
05/08/2022, 5:52 PM | +1.5 -170 | -1.5 +140 |
05/08/2022, 5:05 PM | +1.5 -166 | -1.5 +140 |
Compare Odds
SportsBook | MIA | SD |
---|---|---|
Open | +145 | -165 |
Consensus | +135 | -159 |
Best Line |
Marlins vs. Padres Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Marlins 35-40 | o3-110 | u3-120 |
![]() Padres 46-33 | o3.5-110 | u3.5-120 |
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