Download the App Image

MLB Odds, Picks & Previews: Our 3 Best Bets, Including Marlins vs. Padres, Dodgers vs. Cubs (May 8)

MLB Odds, Picks & Previews: Our 3 Best Bets, Including Marlins vs. Padres, Dodgers vs. Cubs (May 8) article feature image
Credit:

Via Quinn Harris/Getty Images. Pictured: Nico Hoerner.

  • With a stacked MLB slate on Sunday, our MLB analysts have three picks they love.
  • They have identified one total play and two underdogs on the moneyline with value.
  • Check out their analysis and picks below.

There’s a jam-packed slate of MLB games this Sunday. There are 18 games in total, including three double-headers. Our MLB analysts have found three best bets they love, including plays on Marlins-Padres and Dodgers-Cubs. Check out their analysis and picks below.

MLB Odds & Picks

Click on a game to skip ahead
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
1:35 p.m. ET
Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
4:10 p.m. ET
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
7:08 p.m. ET

Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox

Pick
Over 8.5 -105
Book
DraftKings
Pitchers
Dallas Keuchel vs. Michael Wacha
First Pitch
1:35 p.m. ET

Nicholas Martin: Both of these clubs are solid candidates for positive offensive regression and get a favorable starting pitching matchup to find it Sunday.

The Red Sox are middle of the pack with regards to Hard-Hit and xSLG Rates, and they get a tremendous opportunity to find more production against Dallas Keuchel.

Keuchel has pitched to an xERA of 5.03 this season as it certainly seems he is well past his prime. Keuchel’s heavily diminished fastball velocity and low spin rates have left hardly any batters fooled this year. He’s pitched to just a 9.4% Strikeout Rate with a 13.4% Walk Rate.

Michael Wacha has been tremendous so far this season, pitching to a 3.17 xERA in 26 innings. Yet with his low fastball velocity and low spin-rate, it seems reasonable to expect his results to trend closer to what we saw in 2021.

The White Sox have hit the ball hard themselves, with a 44.1% Hard-Hit Rate this season and the league’s third-highest xSLG Rate at .495. It seems the production we expected from this lineup should come soon.

This seems like a great time to buy low on this total. Each team is not producing as effectively at the plate as I believe they will moving forward, and Michael Wacha is probably at a high-water point.


» Return to the table of contents «


Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres

Pick
Marlins Moneyline +145
Book
DraftKings
Pitchers
Trevor Rogers vs. Joe Musgrove
First Pitch
4:10 p.m. ET

Jules Posner: While the Padres have certainly played well this season, they have overachieved to a degree. After Saturday’s loss, their Pythagorean W-L record slipped to around 16-12.

The Marlins would have a slightly worse mark, but considering this match may come down to the bullpens, the Marlins have the overall edge in this game.

Additionally, the Marlins moneyline is a great value considering this game is more of a coin toss than it seems. Chase the payout and take the Marlins moneyline at plus-money.

Get Your First Deposit Matched Up to $100!

Sign up and deposit up to $100

Your deposit will be fully matched

New users only

» Return to the table of contents «


Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs

Pick
Cubs ML +190
Book
BetRivers
Pitchers
Walker Buehler vs. Marcus Stroman
First Pitch
7:08 p.m. ET

Tanner McGrath: Fellow Action Network MLB expert Sean Zerillo projects the Cubs at roughly +150 for the full game, and I’m inclined to agree. Consequently, odds of +190 at BetRivers are far too generous.

Through the first month of this season, the Dodgers are first in MLB in reliever FIP and xFIP (2.69 and 2.98, respectively). But while the Cubs are 18th in reliever FIP (3.69), they are tied for first with the Dodgers in xFIP (2.98).

My point is that the Cubs are slightly undervalued right now. The lineup has been horrid, and I’m low on Marcus Stroman. However, we should be able to buy low on the Cubs in the coming days and weeks, and I’m excited to start here.

If I’m catching over +160 with Stroman and the Cubs on Sunday Night, I’ll be on that side.


» Return to the table of contents «


How would you rate this article?