Freedman’s Arbitrage Player Prop Plays for Monday: Luka Doncic’s Made 3-Point Shots

Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine. See my master list of 2019 prop bets for more information.

Also follow me in The Action Network app, where each day I post additional, official player prop picks: Today we have seven NBA games.

2019 Year-to-Date Record

224-197-11, +29.76 Units

• NFL: 21-13-0, +11.72 Units
• NBA: 113-94-3, +13.32 Units
• NHL: 65-78-7, -6.66 Units
• Golf: 4-5-1, -0.35 Units
• NASCAR: 5-4-0. +2.30 Units
• NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
• NCAAB: 0-1-0. -1.00 Units
• Exotic: 16-1-0. +11.43 Units

Monday (March 4) Arbitrage Player Prop Plays

I’ve recently been able to find player props to arbitrage in the NBA betting markets. Any such props I find today I’ll highlight in this piece, which I might update as tip-off approaches.

What Is Arbitrage?

From our sports betting glossary, arbitrage is the simultaneous purchase and sale of the same game in different markets to profit from unequal prices.

Essentially, when you arbitrage, you are guaranteed not to lose money. And in some cases you are guaranteed to win money. Not a lot of money. But enough to make the exercise worth it.

For more details, see this Sports Insights arbitrage breakdown.

D'Angelo Russell Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Over 2.5: -120 (1.25 units)
• Under 2.5: +125 (1.0 unit)

If the under hits, you break even. If the over hits, you profit +0.042 units.

Joe Harris Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Over 2.5: +155 (1.0 unit)
• Under 2.5: -135 (1.55 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.148 units.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Over 2.5: +155 (1.0 unit)
• Under 2.5: -145 (1.55 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.069 units.

Dirk Nowitzki Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Over 1.5: -125 (1.4 units)
• Under 1.5: +140 (1.0 unit)

If the under hits, you break even. If the over hits, you profit +0.042 units.

Luka Doncic Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• Dallas Mavericks at Brooklyn Nets: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Over 2.5: +110 (1.0 unit)
• Under 2.5: +110 (1.0 unit)

Regardless of whichever side hits, you profit +0.1 units.

Buddy Hield Over/Under 3.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• New York Knicks at Sacramento Kings: 10:00 p.m. ET
• Over 3.5: +120 (1.0 unit)
• Under 3.5: -105 (1.2 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.143 units.

Dennis Smith Jr. Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• New York Knicks at Sacramento Kings: 10:00 p.m. ET
• Over 1.5: +145 (1.0 unit)
• Under 1.5: -125 (1.45 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.16 units.

LeBron James Over/Under 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• Los Angeles Clippers at Los Angeles Lakers: 10:30 p.m. ET
• Over 2.5: +150 (1.0 unit)
• Under 2.5: -145 (1.5 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.034 units.

Patrick Beverly Over/Under 1.5 Made 3-Point Shots

• Los Angeles Clippers at Los Angeles Lakers: 10:30 p.m. ET
• Over 1.5: +155 (1.0 unit)
• Under 1.5: -130 (1.55 units)

If the over hits, you break even. If the under hits, you profit +0.192 units.

Matthew Freedman is the Editor-in-Chief of FantasyLabs. He has a dog and sometimes a British accent. In Cedar Rapids, Iowa, he’s known only as The Labyrinthian.